中国临床新医学
中國臨床新醫學
중국림상신의학
CHINESE JOURNAL OF NEW CLINICAL MEDICINE
2014年
6期
488-492
,共5页
罗铭%李富%何留生%李天罡%曾健
囉銘%李富%何留生%李天罡%曾健
라명%리부%하류생%리천강%증건
乳腺癌%非前哨淋巴结%风险预测模型
乳腺癌%非前哨淋巴結%風險預測模型
유선암%비전초림파결%풍험예측모형
Breast cancer%Non-sentinel lymph node%Predictive model
目的:回顾性分析与广西前哨淋巴结( SLN)阳性乳腺癌患者非前哨淋巴结( NSLN)癌转移相关的临床病理因素,建立预测模型量化NSLN的转移风险,使低危的SLN阳性患者避免不必要的腋窝淋巴结清扫( ALND)。方法共有83例SLN阳性并行补充ALND的乳腺癌患者纳入该研究。对与NSLN转移相关的临床病理因素进行单因素及多因素分析,建立一个多变量的NSLN转移风险预测模型。并将新建模型运用于83例研究对象,计算受试者操作曲线下面积( AUC)评估该模型预测的准确度。连续变量用Mann-Whitney U检验,分类变量用χ2检验或确切概率法。结果肿瘤大小、肿瘤分级、有无血管淋巴管浸润、SLN癌灶大小等四个影响因素在logistic回归分析中被证实是NSLN转移的独立预测因素,并纳入最终的NSLN转移预测模型。将新建模型运用于83例研究对象,AUC为0.832(95%CI=0.744~0.919)。结论新建立的预测模型能较好地区分广西乳腺癌SLN阳性患者NSLN有无肿瘤侵犯,但新建模型预测的准确度,仍需要进行前瞻性的中心内部验证及外部验证进行评估。
目的:迴顧性分析與廣西前哨淋巴結( SLN)暘性乳腺癌患者非前哨淋巴結( NSLN)癌轉移相關的臨床病理因素,建立預測模型量化NSLN的轉移風險,使低危的SLN暘性患者避免不必要的腋窩淋巴結清掃( ALND)。方法共有83例SLN暘性併行補充ALND的乳腺癌患者納入該研究。對與NSLN轉移相關的臨床病理因素進行單因素及多因素分析,建立一箇多變量的NSLN轉移風險預測模型。併將新建模型運用于83例研究對象,計算受試者操作麯線下麵積( AUC)評估該模型預測的準確度。連續變量用Mann-Whitney U檢驗,分類變量用χ2檢驗或確切概率法。結果腫瘤大小、腫瘤分級、有無血管淋巴管浸潤、SLN癌竈大小等四箇影響因素在logistic迴歸分析中被證實是NSLN轉移的獨立預測因素,併納入最終的NSLN轉移預測模型。將新建模型運用于83例研究對象,AUC為0.832(95%CI=0.744~0.919)。結論新建立的預測模型能較好地區分廣西乳腺癌SLN暘性患者NSLN有無腫瘤侵犯,但新建模型預測的準確度,仍需要進行前瞻性的中心內部驗證及外部驗證進行評估。
목적:회고성분석여엄서전초림파결( SLN)양성유선암환자비전초림파결( NSLN)암전이상관적림상병리인소,건립예측모형양화NSLN적전이풍험,사저위적SLN양성환자피면불필요적액와림파결청소( ALND)。방법공유83례SLN양성병행보충ALND적유선암환자납입해연구。대여NSLN전이상관적림상병리인소진행단인소급다인소분석,건립일개다변량적NSLN전이풍험예측모형。병장신건모형운용우83례연구대상,계산수시자조작곡선하면적( AUC)평고해모형예측적준학도。련속변량용Mann-Whitney U검험,분류변량용χ2검험혹학절개솔법。결과종류대소、종류분급、유무혈관림파관침윤、SLN암조대소등사개영향인소재logistic회귀분석중피증실시NSLN전이적독립예측인소,병납입최종적NSLN전이예측모형。장신건모형운용우83례연구대상,AUC위0.832(95%CI=0.744~0.919)。결론신건립적예측모형능교호지구분엄서유선암SLN양성환자NSLN유무종류침범,단신건모형예측적준학도,잉수요진행전첨성적중심내부험증급외부험증진행평고。
Objective To analyse the clinical pathologic factors predicting non-sentinel node(NSLN) in-volvement and develop a new model to quantify the risk of NSLN metastasis in sentinel lymph nodes ( SLN)-positive breast cancer patients from Guangxi , in order to avoid unnecessary axillary lymph node disection ( ALND) in low-risk patients with positive SLN .Methods Eighty-three patients with positive sentinel lymph node biopsy ( SLNB) followed by ALND were enrolled into our retrospective study .Univariate and multivariate analysis was used to identify variables predicting non-sentinel node involvement and a multivariable predictive model was developed .In order to assess the accuracy ,new model was applied to the original series of 83 patients and the area under the receiver operating charac-teristic curve(AUC) was calculated.Distribution of continuous variables was analyzed using the Mann-Whitney U test, and the χ2 test was used for categorical variables .Results Size of the primary tumor, histological grade, lym-phovascular invasion and size of SLN metastasis were revealed to be independent predictors of NSLN involvement in multivariate logistic regression and included in the final predictive model .For the original series of 83 patients, the AUC was 0.832(95%CI=0.744 to 0.919).Conclusion In our study,new predictive tool was developed to assess the risk of additional axillary metastases after positive SLNB in breast cancer and represent considerable discrimination in our own population .but its accuracy needs to be assessed by prospective validation in both internal center and ex -ternal centers.