科技促进发展
科技促進髮展
과기촉진발전
SCIENCE&TECHNOLOGY FOR DEVELOPMENT
2013年
6期
28-35
,共8页
张珣%张莉莉%尚妍%孙玉莹%杨晓光
張珣%張莉莉%尚妍%孫玉瑩%楊曉光
장순%장리리%상연%손옥형%양효광
外贸形势%预测%政策建议
外貿形勢%預測%政策建議
외무형세%예측%정책건의
Foreign trade circumstances%forecasting%policy suggestion
2013年前三季度,在2012年同期进出口增速基数较低基础上,我国进出口增速进一步放缓,贸易结构悄然变化。预计2013年第四季度进口、出口增速均在7%左右,而全年出口增速在7.5%左右,全年进口增速均在7%左右。针对我国未来外贸增长面临问题和挑战,结合我国贸易结构调整的需求,本文建议我国对外贸易优化出口市场、加大对民营企业的支持力度、促进升级消费和产业结构调整,积极应对贸易摩擦。
2013年前三季度,在2012年同期進齣口增速基數較低基礎上,我國進齣口增速進一步放緩,貿易結構悄然變化。預計2013年第四季度進口、齣口增速均在7%左右,而全年齣口增速在7.5%左右,全年進口增速均在7%左右。針對我國未來外貿增長麵臨問題和挑戰,結閤我國貿易結構調整的需求,本文建議我國對外貿易優化齣口市場、加大對民營企業的支持力度、促進升級消費和產業結構調整,積極應對貿易摩抆。
2013년전삼계도,재2012년동기진출구증속기수교저기출상,아국진출구증속진일보방완,무역결구초연변화。예계2013년제사계도진구、출구증속균재7%좌우,이전년출구증속재7.5%좌우,전년진구증속균재7%좌우。침대아국미래외무증장면림문제화도전,결합아국무역결구조정적수구,본문건의아국대외무역우화출구시장、가대대민영기업적지지력도、촉진승급소비화산업결구조정,적겁응대무역마찰。
In the ifrst three quarters of 2013, the growth speed of China’s foreign trade gets slower than that of 2012, and the trade structure is undergoing gradual changes. We predict that the growth rates of exports and imports are both about 7%for the last quarter, and might be around 7%for exports and 7.5%for imports annually. Facing the dififcult and challenge, and considering the demand of restructuring foreign trade sector, we suggest that the country should optimize the exports market, strength the support to the private companies, push the upgrading of consumption, adjust industry structure, and actively response the trade frictions.