CAJ | 학술논문

利用1981-2010年我国GDP、煤炭、石油、天然气以及电力消费量的数据，对我国经济增长与四种能源消费量通过建立计量经济模型进行分析，结果揭示四种能源消费量对我国GDP增长都具有正向关系，并与GDP存在着长期协整关系；得出推动我国经济增长的能源消费中贡献率最大的是煤炭，这说明我国经济发展对煤炭的依赖性很强，一定程度上反映了我国能源消费结构存在不合理之处。对此提出能源消费在推动经济发展的同时必须要优化能源结构，加大科技投入，促进新能源的开发。
이용1981-2010년아국GDP、매탄、석유、천연기이급전력소비량적수거，대아국경제증장여사충능원소비량통과건립계량경제모형진행분석，결과게시사충능원소비량대아국GDP증장도구유정향관계，병여GDP존재착장기협정관계；득출추동아국경제증장적능원소비중공헌솔최대적시매탄，저설명아국경제발전대매탄적의뢰성흔강，일정정도상반영료아국능원소비결구존재불합리지처。대차제출능원소비재추동경제발전적동시필수요우화능원결구，가대과기투입，촉진신능원적개발。
This paper analyzed the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption in our country by estab-lishing econometric model,based on the statistic data of energy consumption (including coal,oil,gas,and electric power) and GDP from 1 981 to 201 0.The results revealed that four kinds of energy consumption had significant positive effect on GDP growth;there existed a long-term co-integration relationship between four kinds of energy consumption and GDP, which illustrated that China's economic development highly depended on coal,and to some extent,reflected China's energy consumption structure was unreasonable.Finally,while energy promoted economic development,it is necessary to increase investment in science and technology to promote the development of new energy.