吉林金融研究
吉林金融研究
길림금융연구
JILIN FINANCE RESEARCH
2013年
10期
13-18
,共6页
农村经济%农村金融%实证研究%VEC 模型
農村經濟%農村金融%實證研究%VEC 模型
농촌경제%농촌금융%실증연구%VEC 모형
Rural Econimy%Rural Finance%Empirical Study%VEC Model
基于1978-2009年的农村经济金融数据,本文通过构建多变量VEC模型,实证分析了我国农村金融发展与农村经济增长之间的相互关系。结果表明,我国农村经济金融之间存在长期的协整关系,但良性互动的农村经济金融关系还尚未建立。从长期看,农村金融的发展还是要取决于质的提升,即不断提高农村金融效率。
基于1978-2009年的農村經濟金融數據,本文通過構建多變量VEC模型,實證分析瞭我國農村金融髮展與農村經濟增長之間的相互關繫。結果錶明,我國農村經濟金融之間存在長期的協整關繫,但良性互動的農村經濟金融關繫還尚未建立。從長期看,農村金融的髮展還是要取決于質的提升,即不斷提高農村金融效率。
기우1978-2009년적농촌경제금융수거,본문통과구건다변량VEC모형,실증분석료아국농촌금융발전여농촌경제증장지간적상호관계。결과표명,아국농촌경제금융지간존재장기적협정관계,단량성호동적농촌경제금융관계환상미건립。종장기간,농촌금융적발전환시요취결우질적제승,즉불단제고농촌금융효솔。
This paper analyses the correlation between rural ifnance devlopment and rural economic growth of China. To this end, VEC model is used to analyze the data from 1978 to 2009. Empirical study shows that there exists long-term cointegration relationship between China’s rural economy and rural finance. But the benign and interactive correlation between rural economy and rural ifnance has not yet been established. In the long run, rural ifnancial development in the future is still to rely on the improvement of quality, that is, constantly improved efifciency of rural ifnance.