指挥控制与仿真
指揮控製與倣真
지휘공제여방진
COMMAND CONTROL & SIMULATION
2014年
3期
56-60,76
,共6页
声自导鱼雷%齐射%发现概率%解析计算模型
聲自導魚雷%齊射%髮現概率%解析計算模型
성자도어뢰%제사%발현개솔%해석계산모형
acoustic homing torpedo%salvo%finding probability%analytic computation model
为了准确快速地评估声自导鱼雷平行齐射的作战效能（发现概率），从鱼雷、目标的相对运动入手，将目标位置及运动随机误差转移到鱼雷航向上；建立了计算声自导鱼雷平行齐射发现概率的一重积分解析模型（不考虑鱼雷航行性能误差）和四重积分解析计算模型（考虑鱼雷航行性能误差）。最后以统计模型为标准来验证两个解析模型的正确性。仿真结果显示，对于90％左右的考察态势，解析模型与统计模型的结果差的绝对值在1％之内，另外10％左右的考察态势，也在1％～3％之间。从而验证了所建解析模型的正确性和可行性。
為瞭準確快速地評估聲自導魚雷平行齊射的作戰效能（髮現概率），從魚雷、目標的相對運動入手，將目標位置及運動隨機誤差轉移到魚雷航嚮上；建立瞭計算聲自導魚雷平行齊射髮現概率的一重積分解析模型（不攷慮魚雷航行性能誤差）和四重積分解析計算模型（攷慮魚雷航行性能誤差）。最後以統計模型為標準來驗證兩箇解析模型的正確性。倣真結果顯示，對于90％左右的攷察態勢，解析模型與統計模型的結果差的絕對值在1％之內，另外10％左右的攷察態勢，也在1％～3％之間。從而驗證瞭所建解析模型的正確性和可行性。
위료준학쾌속지평고성자도어뢰평행제사적작전효능（발현개솔），종어뢰、목표적상대운동입수，장목표위치급운동수궤오차전이도어뢰항향상；건립료계산성자도어뢰평행제사발현개솔적일중적분해석모형（불고필어뢰항행성능오차）화사중적분해석계산모형（고필어뢰항행성능오차）。최후이통계모형위표준래험증량개해석모형적정학성。방진결과현시，대우90％좌우적고찰태세，해석모형여통계모형적결과차적절대치재1％지내，령외10％좌우적고찰태세，야재1％～3％지간。종이험증료소건해석모형적정학성화가행성。
In order to evaluate the combat effectiveness or finding probability of salvo of two acoustic homing torpedoes accu-rately and quickly, the target position and motion random errors are transferred to the torpedo course according to the relative motion of torpedo and target. Two analytic models are established to compute the finding probability of salvo of two acoustic homing torpedoes; one is the definite integral analytical model ( without regard to torpedo sailing performance error ) and quadruple integral analytic model ( considering the torpedo sailing performance error) . Finally the correctness of the analytic model will be verified through comparing with statistical model. Simulation results show that the absolute value of the differ-ence between analytic model and statistical model is smaller than 0?01 for ninety percent of the investigated situational, and smaller than 0?03 for all the situational. So the analytic model is correct.
