CAJ | 학술논문

利用喀什地区所属5个代表性站50a的平均气温、平均最高、平均最低气温、降水量以及日照时数资料，采用气候趋势系数和气候倾向率方法，对1961年以来喀什地区气候变化特征进行了分析。结果表明，过去50a喀什地区各地年平均气温、年平均最高、最低气温有明显的升高趋势；年降水量呈增加趋势，平原地区降水量的增加出现在夏、秋季，山区出现在夏季，山区降水量增加趋势比平原地区快，降水量变化的年代际差异较小，年际差异很大；近50a来喀什市、塔什库尔干县年日照时数呈明显的增加趋势，莎车县、巴楚县、吐尔尕特年日照时数呈明显的减少趋势。
이용객십지구소속5개대표성참50a적평균기온、평균최고、평균최저기온、강수량이급일조시수자료，채용기후추세계수화기후경향솔방법，대1961년이래객십지구기후변화특정진행료분석。결과표명，과거50a객십지구각지년평균기온、년평균최고、최저기온유명현적승고추세；년강수량정증가추세，평원지구강수량적증가출현재하、추계，산구출현재하계，산구강수량증가추세비평원지구쾌，강수량변화적년대제차이교소，년제차이흔대；근50a래객십시、탑십고이간현년일조시수정명현적증가추세，사차현、파초현、토이소특년일조시수정명현적감소추세。
The climate change in Kashi since 1961 was analyzed by using climate trend coefficient and climate tendency rate on the basis of annual average temperature, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, precipitation and sunshine duration in Kashi during recent 50 years from 1961 to 2010. Kashi City, Shache County, Bachu County, Tu'ergate and Tashiku'ergan County were selected as the representative observation stations. The results showed that an obvious increase trend in the annual average temperature, maximum and minimum temperature in Kashi Prefecture over the past 50 years;annual average precipitation also showed an increase trend and the precipitation increase in plain region was mainly contributed by that in summer and autumn while in mountainous area mainly by that in summer. Plain region showed more increasing than mountainous area. There was a small variation in the decadal scale and large variation in the annual scale. A significant positive trend in annual sunshine duration at an increase rate of 20.906h/10a -33.091h/ 10a was found in Kashi City and Tashiku'ergan County while an significant negative trend at a decrease rate of -4.489h/10a--78.035h/10a in Shache, Bachu and Tu'ergate over the past 50 years.