CAJ | 학술논문

利用车尔臣河流域1955--2010年气温、降水、云量、浮尘、沙尘暴和大风等气象资料，分析了近56a来流域气候变化特征。结果表明：（1）车尔臣河流域年、季平均气温均呈明显上升趋势，以冬季增暖最显著；且在1990年前后出现了冷暖突变，2001--2010年是近568来最暖的时期。（2）年、季降水量呈小幅增加趋势，春季降水增加趋势达显著水平；降水在1963年前后出现干湿突变，而20世纪80年代后降水增加则趋于平稳。（3）年、季平均总云量呈增加趋势，其中夏季云量的增加最明显。（4）年浮尘、沙尘暴和大风日数呈显著减少趋势，但值得注意的是2005年以后沙尘日数不降反升。总体上看，近568车尔臣河流域气候朝暖湿方向发展，生态环境明显改善。
이용차이신하류역1955--2010년기온、강수、운량、부진、사진폭화대풍등기상자료，분석료근56a래류역기후변화특정。결과표명：（1）차이신하류역년、계평균기온균정명현상승추세，이동계증난최현저；차재1990년전후출현료랭난돌변，2001--2010년시근568래최난적시기。（2）년、계강수량정소폭증가추세，춘계강수증가추세체현저수평；강수재1963년전후출현간습돌변，이20세기80년대후강수증가칙추우평은。（3）년、계평균총운량정증가추세，기중하계운량적증가최명현。（4）년부진、사진폭화대풍일수정현저감소추세，단치득주의적시2005년이후사진일수불강반승。총체상간，근568차이신하류역기후조난습방향발전，생태배경명현개선。
Based on the daily meteorological data from Cherchen River Basin during 1955-2010, the change characteristics of various climatic elements such as temperature, precipitation, cloud amount, floqting-dust days, sand storm days and strong wind days were analyzed.The main results are as follows: (1)The annual mean temperature and seasonal mean temperature were obviously increasing, and especially there was a remarkable increase in winter. Meanwhile the annual mean temperature had a sudden change in 1990.The period from 2001 to 2010 was the warmest in recent 56 years.(2)Annual precipitation and seasonal precipitation all presented faint increasing trends, especially in spring. The annual precipitation had a sudden change in 1962 and a stable period appeared since 1980s. (3)The annual cloud amount and seasonal cloud amount also had obviously increasing trends, especially in summer. (4)The annual floating-dust days, annual sand storm and strong wind days obviously decreased, however, the floating-dust and sand storm days increased since 2005 instead of decreasing, which should be paid attention to. The improvement of ecological environment was more obvious and the climate was being warmer and wetter in Cherchen River Basin.