河南科学
河南科學
하남과학
HENAN SCIENCE
2013年
7期
1089-1094
,共6页
碳排放强度%环境学习曲线%碳减排潜力
碳排放彊度%環境學習麯線%碳減排潛力
탄배방강도%배경학습곡선%탄감배잠력
carbon emissions intensity%environmental learning curve%carbon mitigation potential
基于山东省2002-2010年万元产值碳排放量和人均GDP，建立万元产值碳排放量随人均GDP变化的环境学习曲线，分析了在此期间的碳排放环境负荷变化及减排潜力；基于2000-2009年产业、行业数据，构建了产业、行业碳排放环境学习曲线，对《山东省国民经济和社会发展第十二个五年规划纲要》确定的削减17％碳排放强度目标的可达性进行了预测。在此基础上，重新计算各行业碳减排目标和分担率。
基于山東省2002-2010年萬元產值碳排放量和人均GDP，建立萬元產值碳排放量隨人均GDP變化的環境學習麯線，分析瞭在此期間的碳排放環境負荷變化及減排潛力；基于2000-2009年產業、行業數據，構建瞭產業、行業碳排放環境學習麯線，對《山東省國民經濟和社會髮展第十二箇五年規劃綱要》確定的削減17％碳排放彊度目標的可達性進行瞭預測。在此基礎上，重新計算各行業碳減排目標和分擔率。
기우산동성2002-2010년만원산치탄배방량화인균GDP，건립만원산치탄배방량수인균GDP변화적배경학습곡선，분석료재차기간적탄배방배경부하변화급감배잠력；기우2000-2009년산업、행업수거，구건료산업、행업탄배방배경학습곡선，대《산동성국민경제화사회발전제십이개오년규화강요》학정적삭감17％탄배방강도목표적가체성진행료예측。재차기출상，중신계산각행업탄감배목표화분담솔。
Based on relevant statistical data including the carbon emissions intensity and per capital GDP from 2000 to 2010 in Shandong Province,the environmental learning curve reflecting the changes between carbon emissions under ten thousand Yuan and per capital GDP was built. We analyzed the carbon emissions changes and potential of environmental load reduction during 2002-2010. We also built environmental learning curve of industries based on the 2000-2009 industry data. The feasibility of the targets on determine the reduction up to 17% according to “the Twelfth Five-Year Plan of National Economic and Social Development of Shandong Province”was predicted,and then the carbon emission reduction targets of each industry and the share ratio were recalculated.
