CAJ | 학술논문

通过选取《中国统计年鉴2012》和《中国能源统计年鉴2012》中的相关数据，采用协整理论和Granger因果检验，研究我国碳排放与经济增长之间的关系。研究结果表明：在长期内，我国碳排放与经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系；在短期内，两者之间存在着短期波动关系。 Granger因果检验结果表明：经济增长是碳排放的Granger原因，但碳排放不是经济增长的Granger原因。为此建议，应大力发展低碳经济，提高能源效率、开发利用可再生能源、引导消费者行为，实现经济增长与生态环境的协同发展。
통과선취《중국통계년감2012》화《중국능원통계년감2012》중적상관수거，채용협정이론화Granger인과검험，연구아국탄배방여경제증장지간적관계。연구결과표명：재장기내，아국탄배방여경제증장지간존재착장기균형관계；재단기내，량자지간존재착단기파동관계。 Granger인과검험결과표명：경제증장시탄배방적Granger원인，단탄배방불시경제증장적Granger원인。위차건의，응대력발전저탄경제，제고능원효솔、개발이용가재생능원、인도소비자행위，실현경제증장여생태배경적협동발전。
This article used the co-integration theory and Granger causality test to research the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth in China by selecting the relevant data of the“Chinese Statistical Yearbook 2012” and“Chinese Energy Statistical Yearbook 2012”. The results show that in the long term,there exists a long-term equilibrium relationship between China’s carbon emissions and economic growth,while in the short term,there is a short-term fluctuation relationship The Granger causality test results show that the economic growth is the Granger cause of carbon emissions,but carbon emissions is not Granger cause of economic growth. Therefore,we recommended that we should vigorously develop low carbon economy,improve energy efficiency, development and utilization of renewable energy,guide consumer behavior,so as to realize the coordinate development of economic growth and ecological environment.