CAJ | 학술논문

针对边坡位移时间序列,采用多项式拟合的方法对边坡上的监测点进行变形分析和预报。详细叙述了多项式拟合的方法,并据此构建了边坡的多项式预报模型。结合小湾水电站2号山梁高边坡监测点的全球定位系统（GPS）实测数据,对监测点的＂位移-时间＂拟合曲线进行分析,验证了边坡多项式预报模型的正确性。
침대변파위이시간서렬,채용다항식의합적방법대변파상적감측점진행변형분석화예보。상세서술료다항식의합적방법,병거차구건료변파적다항식예보모형。결합소만수전참2호산량고변파감측점적전구정위계통（GPS）실측수거,대감측점적＂위이-시간＂의합곡선진행분석,험증료변파다항식예보모형적정학성。
According to the displacement time series of the slope,the polynomial fitting method is adopted to analyze and predict the deformation of the monitoring points of the slope.The polynomial fitting method is elaborated,and then a polynomial prediction model is established.Combining with the observed GPS data of No.2 ridge high slope in Xiaowan Hydropower Station,the time-displacement fitting curve of monitoring points is analyzed.The accuracy of the proposed model is validated.