CAJ | 학술논문

工程项目争端频发，双方最终有可能通过诉讼解决争端。但诉讼成本高昂，破坏双方友好合作关系并影响公司声誉，因此遭到很多学者的反对。为了避免争端双方盲目通过法律途径解决争端，试图对工程争端诉讼结果进行预测，希望争端双方在诉诸法律之前能够认识到自身行为的合理性。提出通过CBR-RBR方法对工程争端诉讼结果进行预测，并首次尝试对预测结果进行数量化处理，以提高CBR-RBR系统的实际应用价值。在此基础上，以“工程缺陷争端”这一争端类型进行实例研究，结果表明该方法对工程缺陷争端结果预测的准确率高达93.75%，而且最终数量结果的偏差也在预期范围之内，说明提出的CBR-RBR方法可以有效地应用于工程争端诉讼结果的预测，为双方解决争端提供科学依据。
공정항목쟁단빈발，쌍방최종유가능통과소송해결쟁단。단소송성본고앙，파배쌍방우호합작관계병영향공사성예，인차조도흔다학자적반대。위료피면쟁단쌍방맹목통과법률도경해결쟁단，시도대공정쟁단소송결과진행예측，희망쟁단쌍방재소제법률지전능구인식도자신행위적합이성。제출통과CBR-RBR방법대공정쟁단소송결과진행예측，병수차상시대예측결과진행수양화처리，이제고CBR-RBR계통적실제응용개치。재차기출상，이“공정결함쟁단”저일쟁단류형진행실례연구，결과표명해방법대공정결함쟁단결과예측적준학솔고체93.75%，이차최종수량결과적편차야재예기범위지내，설명제출적CBR-RBR방법가이유효지응용우공정쟁단소송결과적예측，위쌍방해결쟁단제공과학의거。
The complex nature of construction, participants with different backgrounds, uncertainties and the incompleteness of the contract often lead to disputing in construction industry. Litigation may be an effective way to solve the problem. In order to avoid resolving disputes through litigation blindly, the paper is trying to predict the outcome of the litigation of disputes by using the CBR-RBR model, so that the parties can know whether their behaviors are reasonable before the resort to the law. The paper proposes a framework of the prediction of litigation outcomes based on CBR-RBR model, then this method is applied to the pre-diction of construction defects disputes. The result shows that the prediction accuracy of construction defects disputes is up to 93.75%, which indicates that the proposed CBR-RBR method can be effectively applied to the field of construction dispute litigation.