中国农学通报
中國農學通報
중국농학통보
CHINESE AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE BULLETIN
2013年
14期
196-201
,共6页
叶瑜%苏永秀%李政%王莹%梁骏
葉瑜%囌永秀%李政%王瑩%樑駿
협유%소영수%리정%왕형%량준
日照时数%气候倾向率%变化特征%时空分布
日照時數%氣候傾嚮率%變化特徵%時空分佈
일조시수%기후경향솔%변화특정%시공분포
sunshine duration%climate inclination rate%varition characteristics%spatial and temporal distribution
为了能更好地指导广西地区的农业生产,需要对广西日照时数的时空变化特征做进一步研究,利用广西89个气象台站1961—2010年日照资料,运用GIS 技术、气候倾向率以及M-K 突变检验方法,对广西近50年来日照时数的突变特征及时空变化特征进行分析。结果表明:近50年广西区域年日照时数总体呈下降趋势,其气候倾向率为-35.1 h/10 a,1963年日照时数最多(达1905.6 h),1997年最少(仅1225.1 h),两者相差680.5 h。年日照时数的突变时间为1975年,其中1981年后日照时数进入显著下降阶段,下降一直持续到1997年,之后日照时数呈回升趋势。不同时期各地区间日照时数变化的趋势和幅度各有差异,年代际变化特征表明,除2000s相对于1990s是呈上升趋势之外,其余各年代际日照时数变化大部地区都呈下降趋势,桂东部分地区以及西林等少数地方每10年呈规律性的交替变化。
為瞭能更好地指導廣西地區的農業生產,需要對廣西日照時數的時空變化特徵做進一步研究,利用廣西89箇氣象檯站1961—2010年日照資料,運用GIS 技術、氣候傾嚮率以及M-K 突變檢驗方法,對廣西近50年來日照時數的突變特徵及時空變化特徵進行分析。結果錶明:近50年廣西區域年日照時數總體呈下降趨勢,其氣候傾嚮率為-35.1 h/10 a,1963年日照時數最多(達1905.6 h),1997年最少(僅1225.1 h),兩者相差680.5 h。年日照時數的突變時間為1975年,其中1981年後日照時數進入顯著下降階段,下降一直持續到1997年,之後日照時數呈迴升趨勢。不同時期各地區間日照時數變化的趨勢和幅度各有差異,年代際變化特徵錶明,除2000s相對于1990s是呈上升趨勢之外,其餘各年代際日照時數變化大部地區都呈下降趨勢,桂東部分地區以及西林等少數地方每10年呈規律性的交替變化。
위료능경호지지도엄서지구적농업생산,수요대엄서일조시수적시공변화특정주진일보연구,이용엄서89개기상태참1961—2010년일조자료,운용GIS 기술、기후경향솔이급M-K 돌변검험방법,대엄서근50년래일조시수적돌변특정급시공변화특정진행분석。결과표명:근50년엄서구역년일조시수총체정하강추세,기기후경향솔위-35.1 h/10 a,1963년일조시수최다(체1905.6 h),1997년최소(부1225.1 h),량자상차680.5 h。년일조시수적돌변시간위1975년,기중1981년후일조시수진입현저하강계단,하강일직지속도1997년,지후일조시수정회승추세。불동시기각지구간일조시수변화적추세화폭도각유차이,년대제변화특정표명,제2000s상대우1990s시정상승추세지외,기여각년대제일조시수변화대부지구도정하강추세,계동부분지구이급서림등소수지방매10년정규률성적교체변화。
In order to guide the Guangxi region’s agricultural production more effectively, it needed to require further study the temporal and spatial variation of sunshine duration in Guangxi in recent years. The spatial and temporal variation characteristics of sunshine duration was analyzed by using GIS technique, climatic inclination rate and Mann-Kendall catastrophe test, based on the sunshine duration of 89 meteorological stations over Guangxi in recent 50 years. The results showed that: the Guangxi’s annual sunshine duration over Guangxi in recent 50 years had a decreasing trend, and the climate inclination rate of annual sunshine duration was -35.1 h/10 a. The sunshine duration in 1963 was the largest (1905.6 h), and the sunshine duration in 1997 was the least (1225.1 h), the sunshine duration in 1963 was more 680.5 h than the one in 1997. The abrupt change of annual sunshine duration occurred in 1975, and the sunshine duration reached a significant decreasing period which continued until 1997, then the sunshine duration had an increasing trend. The sunshine duration in different areas and period had differences with trend and range. Interdecadal change characteristic showed that: the sunshine duration had a decreasing trend from 1990s to 2000s and it had an increasing trend in most areas among other periods in recent 50 years. Interdecadal change of the sunshine duration had a regularity of change average every decade in eastern part of Guangxi areas and a few places among Xilin.