CAJ | 학술논문

基于河南省14个种烟县（市）604户烟农调查问卷，运用Logit模型对烟农种烟意愿影响因素进行了计量分析。结果表明：烟农年龄、所处地貌、家庭种烟劳动力人数、种烟时间、种烟收入占全部收入的比例、是否进行轮作、对烟草公司技术服务满意度、参加烟叶种植保险、烟叶收购站的服务等因素对烟农种烟意愿有正的影响，而烟农性别、受教育程度、资金投入难问题、烟田基础设施、有密集烤房数量、参加烟农专业合作社等因素不对烟农种烟意愿产生影响。
기우하남성14개충연현（시）604호연농조사문권，운용Logit모형대연농충연의원영향인소진행료계량분석。결과표명：연농년령、소처지모、가정충연노동력인수、충연시간、충연수입점전부수입적비례、시부진행륜작、대연초공사기술복무만의도、삼가연협충식보험、연협수구참적복무등인소대연농충연의원유정적영향，이연농성별、수교육정도、자금투입난문제、연전기출설시、유밀집고방수량、삼가연농전업합작사등인소불대연농충연의원산생영향。
Econometric analysis of factors influencing growers’ willingness to grow flue-cured tobacco was conducted using logistic model based on 604 questionnaires from growers of fourteen flue-cured tobacco growing counties in Henan province. Results showed that grower age, landform type, family labor force, tobacco growing history, percentage of tobacco growing revenue in total family income, crop rotation, degree of satisfaction with technical service from tobacco company, participation in cultivation insurance, and service from leaf tobacco purchasing station had positive effects on growers’ willingness and enthusiasm to grow flue-cured tobacco. However, growers’ gender and education level, access to fund, field infrastructure, quantity of bulk curing barn, and participation in professional growers’ cooperatives showed no influence on growers’ willingness.