CAJ | 학술논문

为解决电信企业云计算数据中心基础设施管理中的容量管理问题。采用理论分析和实验的方法，以理解数据中心系统历史容量使用为依据，利用指数平滑法建立容量预测模型，并考虑业务突发对模型的影响，利用斜率调整因子和截距调整因子优化预测模型，实验验证了通过模型计算容量与系统真实占用容量接近的结果。研究结果表明：数据中心系统未来容量需求可以通过历史容量分析建立指数平滑模型来预测。研究结论初步突破了数据中心系统容量不可预测、难于管理的认识，通过容量管理可以使电信业保持系统容量利用率、成本以及服务质量之间的平衡，提升系统资源利用率，提升服务可用性，解决资源瓶颈。
위해결전신기업운계산수거중심기출설시관리중적용량관리문제。채용이론분석화실험적방법，이리해수거중심계통역사용량사용위의거，이용지수평활법건립용량예측모형，병고필업무돌발대모형적영향，이용사솔조정인자화절거조정인자우화예측모형，실험험증료통과모형계산용량여계통진실점용용량접근적결과。연구결과표명：수거중심계통미래용량수구가이통과역사용량분석건립지수평활모형래예측。연구결론초보돌파료수거중심계통용량불가예측、난우관리적인식，통과용량관리가이사전신업보지계통용량이용솔、성본이급복무질량지간적평형，제승계통자원이용솔，제승복무가용성，해결자원병경。
In order to solve the capacity management problem in the infrastructure management of cloud computing data center in telecommunications industry, this study utilized theoretical analysis and experimental method and established capacity forecast model by making use of exponential smoothing method on the basis of understanding the history of data center system capacity, capacity forecast model and considering the impact of business growth on the model. The prediction model is optimized by using of the slope adjustment factor and the intercept adjustment factor. The consistency of the results of the model calculation capacity and true occupancy capacity has been verified by experiments. The results show that the future of the data center system capacity requirements can be established through analyzing historical capacity and establishing exponential smoothing model to predict. The study made a breakthrough in dealing with the unpredictable and difficult to manage the system capacity issue of a data center, and the capacity management can maintain a balance between system capacity utilization, cost, and quality of service of the telecommunications industry, improve system resource utilization, improve service availability and resolve resource bottlenecks.