江苏技术师范学院学报
江囌技術師範學院學報
강소기술사범학원학보
JOURNAL OF JIANGSU TEACHERS UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
2013年
3期
64-71
,共8页
效率%财富效应%滚动样本%ECM模型
效率%財富效應%滾動樣本%ECM模型
효솔%재부효응%곤동양본%ECM모형
efficiency%wealth effect%rolling sample%ECM method
运用滚动样本和误差修正(ECM)模型检验了2001-2011年我国股票市场在不同样本期间的财富效应,在此基础上形成以下结论:我国股票市场在总体上存在财富效应,但其效果并不显著;短期内股市财富与社会消费相互影响,且股市财富对社会消费的影响在某些时段表现为替代效应;长期而言消费决定股市财富;我国股票市场呈现弱势有效市场特征,投机气氛较浓,影响财富效应的发挥。同时,就此提出了有利于发挥股市财富效应的相关措施。
運用滾動樣本和誤差脩正(ECM)模型檢驗瞭2001-2011年我國股票市場在不同樣本期間的財富效應,在此基礎上形成以下結論:我國股票市場在總體上存在財富效應,但其效果併不顯著;短期內股市財富與社會消費相互影響,且股市財富對社會消費的影響在某些時段錶現為替代效應;長期而言消費決定股市財富;我國股票市場呈現弱勢有效市場特徵,投機氣氛較濃,影響財富效應的髮揮。同時,就此提齣瞭有利于髮揮股市財富效應的相關措施。
운용곤동양본화오차수정(ECM)모형검험료2001-2011년아국고표시장재불동양본기간적재부효응,재차기출상형성이하결론:아국고표시장재총체상존재재부효응,단기효과병불현저;단기내고시재부여사회소비상호영향,차고시재부대사회소비적영향재모사시단표현위체대효응;장기이언소비결정고시재부;아국고표시장정현약세유효시장특정,투궤기분교농,영향재부효응적발휘。동시,취차제출료유리우발휘고시재부효응적상관조시。
The paper discusses the efficiency to Chinese capital market based on the wealth effect. It verifies the wealth effect of Chinese stock market in 2001-2011 with rolling sample and ECM method. After that the paper makes some conclusions:there is wealth effect in Chinese stock market in whole, Although it is yet not notable;in short term, stock market’s wealth affects consumption with each other , and the former has some substitution effect on the later in some times;in long term, it is stock market’s wealth that depends on consumption;Chinese stock market behaves as a semi-effective market and has too much speculation, which restricts the wealth effect of stock market . In the end, the paper gives some suggestions on exerting wealth effect.