CAJ | 학술논문

综合运用定额法等研究方法对奇台诸小河流域生活、生产、生态等需水量进行预测分析，确定未来不同水平年的需水总量。结果表明，奇台诸小河流域农业需水量始终占据着主导地位，由于农业需水量下降较大，导致总需水量下降。生活需水量、第二、三产业需水量、生态环境美化需水量呈现增长趋势。需水量预测结果为奇台水资源配置和产业结构调整提供了基础依据。
종합운용정액법등연구방법대기태제소하류역생활、생산、생태등수수량진행예측분석，학정미래불동수평년적수수총량。결과표명，기태제소하류역농업수수량시종점거착주도지위，유우농업수수량하강교대，도치총수수량하강。생활수수량、제이、삼산업수수량、생태배경미화수수량정현증장추세。수수량예측결과위기태수자원배치화산업결구조정제공료기출의거。
The study methods such as quota method are comprehensively applied for forecast and analysis on water demands for living, production and ecological activities in the small Qitai catchments so as to determine the total water demands at different target years in the future.The study shows that the water demand for agricultural activities in the above-mentioned catchments predominates all the time. The large drop of the agricultural water demand results in the drop of the total water demands.The water demands for living, industries, service fields and ecological environment intend to increase.The forecast results of the water demands provide Qitai water resources ar-rangement and industrial structural re-organization with sound basis.