中国农业资源与区划
中國農業資源與區劃
중국농업자원여구화
CHINA AGRICULTURAL RESOURCES AND REGIONAL PLANNING
2014年
3期
85-92
,共8页
南疆%农业产业结构%贡献率%灰色关联度
南疆%農業產業結構%貢獻率%灰色關聯度
남강%농업산업결구%공헌솔%회색관련도
southern Xinjiang%the industrial structure of agriculture%contribution rate%Grey Correlation Degree
通过分析2000~2011年南疆地区农业结构及其变动对农业经济增长的影响,解析了南疆地区农业结构及其变动情况,测算出农业产业结构及其变动对农业经济的贡献率和农业各部门产值增长对农业经济增长的影响弹性。结果表明,南疆地区农业外部结构变动具有明显的成长特征;而农业内部结构变动速度慢,调整方向不明,其中种植业的增长对南疆地区农业总产出增长的拉动能力最大,其次为牧业,渔业与林业对农业经济的影响较小;目前南疆地区农业产业结构已对农业经济增长产生负面效应,农业产业结构所蕴含的能量仍有待进一步释放,农业产业结构变动所带来的经济效益有待进一步开发,农业产业结构亟待进一步调整优化。
通過分析2000~2011年南疆地區農業結構及其變動對農業經濟增長的影響,解析瞭南疆地區農業結構及其變動情況,測算齣農業產業結構及其變動對農業經濟的貢獻率和農業各部門產值增長對農業經濟增長的影響彈性。結果錶明,南疆地區農業外部結構變動具有明顯的成長特徵;而農業內部結構變動速度慢,調整方嚮不明,其中種植業的增長對南疆地區農業總產齣增長的拉動能力最大,其次為牧業,漁業與林業對農業經濟的影響較小;目前南疆地區農業產業結構已對農業經濟增長產生負麵效應,農業產業結構所蘊含的能量仍有待進一步釋放,農業產業結構變動所帶來的經濟效益有待進一步開髮,農業產業結構亟待進一步調整優化。
통과분석2000~2011년남강지구농업결구급기변동대농업경제증장적영향,해석료남강지구농업결구급기변동정황,측산출농업산업결구급기변동대농업경제적공헌솔화농업각부문산치증장대농업경제증장적영향탄성。결과표명,남강지구농업외부결구변동구유명현적성장특정;이농업내부결구변동속도만,조정방향불명,기중충식업적증장대남강지구농업총산출증장적랍동능력최대,기차위목업,어업여임업대농업경제적영향교소;목전남강지구농업산업결구이대농업경제증장산생부면효응,농업산업결구소온함적능량잉유대진일보석방,농업산업결구변동소대래적경제효익유대진일보개발,농업산업결구극대진일보조정우화。
By analyzing the impacts of agricultural structure and its changes on agricultural economic growth in southern Xinjiang from 2000 to 2011 , this paper expained the agricultural structure and its changes in southern Xinjiang region, estimated the contribution rate of the industrial structure of agriculture and its changes on the agri-cultural economy, as well as the impact of output growth in each agricultural sector on agricultural economic growth. The results showed that the changes in the external structure of agriculture in southern Xinjiang region had significant growth characteristics, while the changes in the internal structure of agriculture had slow speed with the ambiguous direction. The farming industry had the greatest impact on the total agricultural output growth in southern Xinjiang region, followed by animal husbandry, fishing industry and at last, forestry. The current industrial struc-ture of agriculture had a negative effect on agricultural economic growth in southern Xinjiang region. The economic benefits brought by the adjustment of the agriculture needed to be further developed, and the industrial structure of agriculture needed to be further optimized.