CAJ | 학술논문

　　针对农业机械化发展受到诸多因素影响的问题，结合以往对农机化水平研究的多种方法，通过建立农业机械化 Swarm 动态仿真系统，对农业机械化的发展趋势进行动态仿真；主要从机械装备与结构、作业、经济以及政策等方面进行分析，以eclipse 作为软件运行平台，调用Swarm 类库中的遗传规则，掌握农机化发展水平的整体趋势，以定量定性的方法来分析农机化发展水平。同时，以2011年河北省农机化发展为例，说明该模型作为短期预测模型具有一定的可行性。
　　침대농업궤계화발전수도제다인소영향적문제，결합이왕대농궤화수평연구적다충방법，통과건립농업궤계화 Swarm 동태방진계통，대농업궤계화적발전추세진행동태방진；주요종궤계장비여결구、작업、경제이급정책등방면진행분석，이eclipse 작위연건운행평태，조용Swarm 류고중적유전규칙，장악농궤화발전수평적정체추세，이정량정성적방법래분석농궤화발전수평。동시，이2011년하북성농궤화발전위례，설명해모형작위단기예측모형구유일정적가행성。
By many factors, the development of agricultural mechanization is combined with the past , a variety of re-search methods, agriculture mechanization level , the development trend of agricultural mechanization through the estab-lishment of agricultural mechanization by using the Swarm dynamic simulation system for dynamic simulation .Mainly from the machinery and equipment and structure , operations, economic and policy analysis, run eclipse as the software plat-form, called Swarm class library genetic rules , the overall trend in the development of agricultural mechanization level , quantitative and qualitative methods to analyze the agricultural development level .Hebei Province agricultural develop-ment as a short-term forecasting is feasible in 2010.