CAJ | 학술논문

本文以云南省16州市旅游面板数据为基础，综合运用了标准差、加权变异系数、差异模型和ESDA方法对1996-2011年云南省区域旅游发展空间格局特征及驱动机制进行系统性研究，实证研究表明：云南省旅游发展绝对差异呈扩大趋势，相对差异则呈现出先发散后收敛的动态特征；云南省旅游发展存在显著的空间自相关性，表现为：第一阶段云南省各州市间的旅游发展趋于极化状态，呈现出高速发展与低速发展两大集聚区，区域旅游发展趋于不平衡。第二阶段云南省各州市间旅游发展的联系逐步增强，旅游发展渐趋平衡；云南省旅游空间发展不均衡，呈现明显的核心-边缘空间格局，且这种格局保持着较高的演化稳定性；旅游资源禀赋、旅游发展政策和交通可达性是云南省旅游发展空间格局演化的主要驱动力。
본문이운남성16주시여유면판수거위기출，종합운용료표준차、가권변이계수、차이모형화ESDA방법대1996-2011년운남성구역여유발전공간격국특정급구동궤제진행계통성연구，실증연구표명：운남성여유발전절대차이정확대추세，상대차이칙정현출선발산후수렴적동태특정；운남성여유발전존재현저적공간자상관성，표현위：제일계단운남성각주시간적여유발전추우겁화상태，정현출고속발전여저속발전량대집취구，구역여유발전추우불평형。제이계단운남성각주시간여유발전적련계축보증강，여유발전점추평형；운남성여유공간발전불균형，정현명현적핵심-변연공간격국，차저충격국보지착교고적연화은정성；여유자원품부、여유발전정책화교통가체성시운남성여유발전공간격국연화적주요구동력。
This paper chooses the tourism panel data in 1 6 prefectures and cities in Yunnan plus the standard deviation,the coefficient of variation,the weighted difference model and ESDA method to make a systematic study of the tourism spatial pattern and its driving mechanism from 1996 to 2011. It concludes that the absolute difference in the development of tourism in Yunnan Province is on the increase,while the relative differences show a dynamic feature with some divergence at first and con-vergence at last.Tourism development in Yunnan exhibits a significant spatial autocorrelation as fol-lows:the first stage of Yunnan's tourism development is imbalanced,with two major clusters of a rapid development and a low development;the second stage sees a gradually balanced development. The typical feature of its spatial development is that of the fairly stable core-periphery pattern while its tourism resources,tourism development policy and transport accessibility are the main driving forces.