灾害学
災害學
재해학
JOURNAL OF CATASTROPHOLOGY
2014年
3期
131-138
,共8页
区域脆弱模型%地质灾害%暴露水平%社会脆弱性%因子分析%GIS%湖北宜昌
區域脆弱模型%地質災害%暴露水平%社會脆弱性%因子分析%GIS%湖北宜昌
구역취약모형%지질재해%폭로수평%사회취약성%인자분석%GIS%호북의창
hazard-of-place model%geological hazards%exposure level%social vulnerability%factor analysis%Geographic Information System%Hubei Yichang region
在介绍HOP模型及其方法的基础上,以湖北省宜昌地区为案例,依据该地区地质灾害综合调查资料、统计年鉴数据资料及第六次人口普查数据资料,以乡镇为基本单元对该地区的人口分布、地质灾害暴露、社会脆弱性及区域综合脆弱性进行分析。研究结果表明:具有明显点状分布特征的地质灾害不同于呈面域发展的其它类型自然灾害,灾害暴露水平不完全由地质灾害发育水平所决定,人口分布特征对灾害暴露有显著影响,其区域脆弱性的高低主要受灾害暴露水平控制,同时受到社会脆弱性的影响。地质灾害区域脆弱性的空间分布特征对宜昌地区的防灾减灾具有实际的指导意义,从技术减灾角度分析,应综合比较分析工程防治、资产转移与人口迁移这三者的技术可行性与技术经济性;从政策减灾角度分析,应更加关注区域脆弱性更高的地区,防灾减灾的政策制定、资金投向与人力资源配备等需根据区域脆弱性的空间特征做出规划与调整。
在介紹HOP模型及其方法的基礎上,以湖北省宜昌地區為案例,依據該地區地質災害綜閤調查資料、統計年鑒數據資料及第六次人口普查數據資料,以鄉鎮為基本單元對該地區的人口分佈、地質災害暴露、社會脆弱性及區域綜閤脆弱性進行分析。研究結果錶明:具有明顯點狀分佈特徵的地質災害不同于呈麵域髮展的其它類型自然災害,災害暴露水平不完全由地質災害髮育水平所決定,人口分佈特徵對災害暴露有顯著影響,其區域脆弱性的高低主要受災害暴露水平控製,同時受到社會脆弱性的影響。地質災害區域脆弱性的空間分佈特徵對宜昌地區的防災減災具有實際的指導意義,從技術減災角度分析,應綜閤比較分析工程防治、資產轉移與人口遷移這三者的技術可行性與技術經濟性;從政策減災角度分析,應更加關註區域脆弱性更高的地區,防災減災的政策製定、資金投嚮與人力資源配備等需根據區域脆弱性的空間特徵做齣規劃與調整。
재개소HOP모형급기방법적기출상,이호북성의창지구위안례,의거해지구지질재해종합조사자료、통계년감수거자료급제륙차인구보사수거자료,이향진위기본단원대해지구적인구분포、지질재해폭로、사회취약성급구역종합취약성진행분석。연구결과표명:구유명현점상분포특정적지질재해불동우정면역발전적기타류형자연재해,재해폭로수평불완전유지질재해발육수평소결정,인구분포특정대재해폭로유현저영향,기구역취약성적고저주요수재해폭로수평공제,동시수도사회취약성적영향。지질재해구역취약성적공간분포특정대의창지구적방재감재구유실제적지도의의,종기술감재각도분석,응종합비교분석공정방치、자산전이여인구천이저삼자적기술가행성여기술경제성;종정책감재각도분석,응경가관주구역취약성경고적지구,방재감재적정책제정、자금투향여인력자원배비등수근거구역취약성적공간특정주출규화여조정。
Based on the hazards-of-place model,Yichang city of Hubei province as an example,this paper analyzed the population distribution,regional hazards exposure,social vulnerability and regional synthesized vul-nerability at town dimensions depending on the data from statistical yearbook,the sixth census and the comprehen-sive survey of geological hazards in research area.The results showed that the geological hazards with obvious point distribution was apparently different from other types of natural hazards with polygon distribution;the exposure level of geological hazards was not entirely determined by the level of geological hazards development,and obviously af-fected by population distribution;the regional vulnerability triggered by geological disasters was mainly controlled by the exposure level of geological hazards,and also influenced by social vulnerability.The spatial distribution of regional vulnerability to geological hazards is important for prevention and mitigation of hazards in Yichang city.At the technical level,practical action should be based on the analysis and comparison of the technical and economic feasibility between engineering control,transfer of assets and population migration;at the policy level,the high lev-el of regional vulnerability should be more concerned about,and government administration,such as the policy of prevention and mitigation hazards,emergent capital investment,and the manpower allocation,etc.,should be planed and adjusted according to the spatial distribution of regional vulnerability.