CAJ | 학술논문

根据1978-2011年我国林业经济发展的相关数据，采用灰色关联度模型，实证分析了林业劳动力、固定资产投资、造林面积、林业科技、产权制度等要素对我国林业经济增长的影响。结果表明，各因素对林业总产值影响的大小顺序分别为资金投入、制度变迁、造林面积、劳动力投入和科技进步，其关联度系数分别为0．889606036、0．85912535、0．838669、0．830188917、0．808583418。林业资本投入成为我国林业经济增长的主要因素，产权制度变迁因素对于林业经济增长具有正向的推动作用。
근거1978-2011년아국임업경제발전적상관수거，채용회색관련도모형，실증분석료임업노동력、고정자산투자、조림면적、임업과기、산권제도등요소대아국임업경제증장적영향。결과표명，각인소대임업총산치영향적대소순서분별위자금투입、제도변천、조림면적、노동력투입화과기진보，기관련도계수분별위0．889606036、0．85912535、0．838669、0．830188917、0．808583418。임업자본투입성위아국임업경제증장적주요인소，산권제도변천인소대우임업경제증장구유정향적추동작용。
Based on the data of Chinese forestry economic development from 1978 to 2011,the impact of la-bor input,forestry investment,afforestation area,technology progress and property system on forestry economy growth were analyzed by using the Gray Correlation Model.The results showed that the order of its impact on the forestry output value is capital investment,property system,afforestation area,labor input and technologies pro-gress.The correlation coefficients of above-mention factors input above are 0.830 188 917, 0.889 606 036, 0.808 583 418,0.859 125 35 and 0.838 668 612.It means that forestry capital investment has become a major factor which contributes to the growth of forest economy while forest property system also plays a positive role .