南水北调与水利科技
南水北調與水利科技
남수북조여수리과기
SOUTH-TO-NORTH WATER
2014年
3期
42-46,185
,共6页
海河流域%暴雨洪水%M ann2K endall秩次检验
海河流域%暴雨洪水%M ann2K endall秩次檢驗
해하류역%폭우홍수%M ann2K endall질차검험
Haihe-River-Basin%storm-flood%Mann2Kendall-rank-correlation-test
随着经济社会迅速发展及人口增加，海河流域内人类活动的影响不断加剧，流域下垫面条件发生了明显变化。利用海河流域翔实的水文资料，采用统计分析法和 M ann2K endall秩次相关检验法，分析了人类活动及气候变化情景下海河流域暴雨洪水特征变化规律及变化趋势，认为近年来海河流域暴雨洪水呈现减少趋势。研究结果为流域洪水系列一致性修正奠定了基础，为防汛抗旱、流域防洪规划与管理提供了技术支撑。
隨著經濟社會迅速髮展及人口增加，海河流域內人類活動的影響不斷加劇，流域下墊麵條件髮生瞭明顯變化。利用海河流域翔實的水文資料，採用統計分析法和 M ann2K endall秩次相關檢驗法，分析瞭人類活動及氣候變化情景下海河流域暴雨洪水特徵變化規律及變化趨勢，認為近年來海河流域暴雨洪水呈現減少趨勢。研究結果為流域洪水繫列一緻性脩正奠定瞭基礎，為防汛抗旱、流域防洪規劃與管理提供瞭技術支撐。
수착경제사회신속발전급인구증가，해하류역내인류활동적영향불단가극，류역하점면조건발생료명현변화。이용해하류역상실적수문자료，채용통계분석법화 M ann2K endall질차상관검험법，분석료인류활동급기후변화정경하해하류역폭우홍수특정변화규률급변화추세，인위근년래해하류역폭우홍수정현감소추세。연구결과위류역홍수계렬일치성수정전정료기출，위방신항한、류역방홍규화여관리제공료기술지탱。
With the rapidly economic and social development and population increase, the impacts of human activities aggravate in the H aihe River Basin, resulting in significant changes in the underlying surface conditions. Based on the hydrological data in detail in theHaiheRiverBasin,thestatisticalanalysisandMannKendallrankcorrelationtestwereusedtoanalyzethevariationruleandtrendof storm flood in the Haihe River Basin under the conditions of human activities and climate changes. The results suggested that storm flood has a decreasing trend in the basin. Research results can lay the foundations for the consistency correction of flood series and pro2 vide technical support for the planning and management of flood control and drought relief in the basin.
