CAJ | 학술논문

考虑了个体的异质性、移动性和个体间的有效接触传染概率，提出了基于元胞自动机带有隔离干预的传染病仿真建模方法。扩展了传统的Moore邻域，模拟仿真了不同的染病停留时间和隔离力度对传染病传播的影响。仿真结果与采用隔离干预对传染病传播的宏观特征相吻合。研究表明：对已感染的患者，染病停留时间越短，采取隔离措施的力度越大，对传染病传播的抑制作用越显著。可为政府和相关部门对传染病制定有效的遏制措施提供理论支持。
고필료개체적이질성、이동성화개체간적유효접촉전염개솔，제출료기우원포자동궤대유격리간예적전염병방진건모방법。확전료전통적Moore린역，모의방진료불동적염병정류시간화격리력도대전염병전파적영향。방진결과여채용격리간예대전염병전파적굉관특정상문합。연구표명：대이감염적환자，염병정류시간월단，채취격리조시적력도월대，대전염병전파적억제작용월현저。가위정부화상관부문대전염병제정유효적알제조시제공이론지지。
The paper is considering the individual heterogeneity, mobility and the effective infection probability between individuals; it is proposed that a simulation model with isolation intervention based on cellular automata. The classical Moore neighborhood is extended to simulate the effect of different disease duration and isolated intensity, and the simulation result is coincidence with the macroscopic characteristics of epidemic controlled by isolation intervention. Researches show that to the infected, the smaller of disease duration, the greater of isolation intensity, and the more significant inhibition on the spread of epidemic will be, which can provide powerful theoretical support for the government and relevant departments to prevent and control the spread of epidemic more effectively, too.