CAJ | 학술논문

从系统工程学理论角度出发，通过对采掘-排水-地下水系统致灾机制进行分析，确定了大水矿山地下水水害致灾主要是由系统中关键参量特性决定的，即由相邻水文地质单元径流补给、大气降水补给及排水系统排水量的不确定性导致；通过对3个主要影响因素的随机特征分布进行研究，得出系统灾害发生概率计算方法，为预测系统的灾害概率提供依据；将失效模型与矿山地下水模型结合，得到了地下水灾害强度及分布特征。该研究量化了矿山灾害，为制定水害防治方案提供一定的科学依据。
종계통공정학이론각도출발，통과대채굴-배수-지하수계통치재궤제진행분석，학정료대수광산지하수수해치재주요시유계통중관건삼량특성결정적，즉유상린수문지질단원경류보급、대기강수보급급배수계통배수량적불학정성도치；통과대3개주요영향인소적수궤특정분포진행연구，득출계통재해발생개솔계산방법，위예측계통적재해개솔제공의거；장실효모형여광산지하수모형결합，득도료지하수재해강도급분포특정。해연구양화료광산재해，위제정수해방치방안제공일정적과학의거。
From the perspective of systematic engineering,the disaster mechanism of excavation -drainage -groundwater system was analyzed,which is determined by the critical parameters of the system,including the runoff supply of adjacent hydrogeological units,atmospheric precipitation recharge and the water discharge uncer-tainty of the drainage system.The method of calculating the probability was derived when the systematic disaster occurs by analyzing the random distribution characteristics of three main influencing factors,which can afford ref-erence to predict the hazard probability.Then the distribution characteristics of disaster intensity of groundwater were obtained by combining the failure mode with the mining groundwater model.In this study,the mine hazard was quantified,and it would provide scientific basis for prevention and control of water disaster.