CAJ | 학술논문

以2012年河北省县域工业经济为研究对象，首先运用探索性空间数据分析（ ESDA ）方法对县域工业总产值的分布情况进行了空间统计描述，指出冀东、冀东南和冀西北的空间集聚呈面状分布，而冀中、冀南则呈点状分布。之后，基于新经济增长理论模型，运用确认性空间数据分析（ CSDA ）方法对河北省县域工业经济发展的影响因素进行了分析，结果表明河北省县域工业经济已经跨越过了依靠劳动密集型投入来促进增长的阶段，步入了主要依靠资本密集型投资促进增长的阶段，而固定资产投资成为县域工业经济发展中最重要的影响因素，同时，以城乡居民存款余额为代表的资本积累成为县域工业经济发展亟须的要素之一。最后，给出了几条针对性的建议。
이2012년하북성현역공업경제위연구대상，수선운용탐색성공간수거분석（ ESDA ）방법대현역공업총산치적분포정황진행료공간통계묘술，지출기동、기동남화기서북적공간집취정면상분포，이기중、기남칙정점상분포。지후，기우신경제증장이론모형，운용학인성공간수거분석（ CSDA ）방법대하북성현역공업경제발전적영향인소진행료분석，결과표명하북성현역공업경제이경과월과료의고노동밀집형투입래촉진증장적계단，보입료주요의고자본밀집형투자촉진증장적계단，이고정자산투자성위현역공업경제발전중최중요적영향인소，동시，이성향거민존관여액위대표적자본적루성위현역공업경제발전극수적요소지일。최후，급출료궤조침대성적건의。
Aiming at the development of county industrial economy in Hebei province as a research object , this arti-cle first makes a spatial statistical description of the distribution of county industrial output value by using explorato -ry spatial data analysis ( ESDA) method, and it demonstrates that the distribution of spatial agglomeration Intensity of the East , the Southeast and the Northwest of Hebei province is areal , while the Middle and the South is scat-tered.Then, based on a model of new economic growth theory , the article discusses the influencing factors of the development of county industrial economy by involving confirmatory spatial data analysis (CSDA) method.The re-sult shows that the county industrial economy in Hebei province has crossed the stage of relying solely on labour -in-tensive investment to promote growth , and reached mainly relying on capital-intensive investment and growth stage;simultaneously , fixed-asset investment has become the most important factor in the development of the county indus -trial economy in Hebei province;while the capital accumulation represented by the deposit balance of urban and ru-ral residents becomes the urgent need of county industrial development .