西南师范大学学报(自然科学版)
西南師範大學學報(自然科學版)
서남사범대학학보(자연과학판)
JOURNAL OF SOUTHWEST CHINA NORMAL UNIVERSITY
2014年
7期
175-182
,共8页
王若瑜%李瑞%谭云廷%程炳岩%郭渠
王若瑜%李瑞%譚雲廷%程炳巖%郭渠
왕약유%리서%담운정%정병암%곽거
重庆%秋季连阴雨%气候特征%前兆信号
重慶%鞦季連陰雨%氣候特徵%前兆信號
중경%추계련음우%기후특정%전조신호
Chongqing%continuous autumn rain%climatic characteristics%previous signals
根据1961-2012年重庆地区34个气象观测站的逐日降水资料、NCEP/NCAR再分析数据集中的高度场格点资料和NOAA的海温逐月资料,分析了重庆地区秋季连阴雨的气候特征、气候背景与前兆信号.结果表明:近52年来重庆地区秋季连阴雨频数呈线性增多趋势.重庆地区秋季连阴雨偏多(偏少)同期环流对应乌拉尔山地区高度场偏低(高),欧亚中高纬度地区盛行经向(纬向)环流,赤道东太平洋区域海温偏低(偏高).前期春季、夏季孟加拉湾地区、我国南海地区500 hPa高度场、赤道中东太平洋地区海温,特别是Ni?o3.4区的海温异常变化是重庆地区秋季连阴雨出现异常偏多(少)值得关注的前兆信号.
根據1961-2012年重慶地區34箇氣象觀測站的逐日降水資料、NCEP/NCAR再分析數據集中的高度場格點資料和NOAA的海溫逐月資料,分析瞭重慶地區鞦季連陰雨的氣候特徵、氣候揹景與前兆信號.結果錶明:近52年來重慶地區鞦季連陰雨頻數呈線性增多趨勢.重慶地區鞦季連陰雨偏多(偏少)同期環流對應烏拉爾山地區高度場偏低(高),歐亞中高緯度地區盛行經嚮(緯嚮)環流,赤道東太平洋區域海溫偏低(偏高).前期春季、夏季孟加拉灣地區、我國南海地區500 hPa高度場、赤道中東太平洋地區海溫,特彆是Ni?o3.4區的海溫異常變化是重慶地區鞦季連陰雨齣現異常偏多(少)值得關註的前兆信號.
근거1961-2012년중경지구34개기상관측참적축일강수자료、NCEP/NCAR재분석수거집중적고도장격점자료화NOAA적해온축월자료,분석료중경지구추계련음우적기후특정、기후배경여전조신호.결과표명:근52년래중경지구추계련음우빈수정선성증다추세.중경지구추계련음우편다(편소)동기배류대응오랍이산지구고도장편저(고),구아중고위도지구성행경향(위향)배류,적도동태평양구역해온편저(편고).전기춘계、하계맹가랍만지구、아국남해지구500 hPa고도장、적도중동태평양지구해온,특별시Ni?o3.4구적해온이상변화시중경지구추계련음우출현이상편다(소)치득관주적전조신호.
In this paper ,the climate characteristics ,background and previous signals of continuous autumn rain in Chongqing have been studied based on height field from NCEP/NCAR ,monthly SST from NOAA and daily precipitation observed by 34 meteorological stations in Chongqing from 1961 to 2012 .T he results are as follow s :T he frequency of continuous autumn rain in Chongqing in recent 52 years has been in-creased .The more(less) continuous autumn rain corresponds to lower (higher) 500hPa height field over U-ral mountain area ,prevailing meridional (zonal) circulation in Eurasia high-mid latitudes and lower (high-er) SST in the equatorial east Pacific .The 500hPa height field in the bay of Bengal and South China Sea and SST in the equatorial central eastern Pacific especially in Ni?o 3 .4 in previous spring and summer are important previous signals of abnormal continuous autumn rain in Chongqing .