CAJ | 학술논문

经济增长及其质量问题是政府和学者们所关注的热点问题，科技进步贡献率作为衡量经济增长质量的参考指标有一定的科学性。文章从结构生产函数入手，通过引入势效系数，使得科技进步贡献率的测算更加科学。文章在具体测算过程中，对河北省国内生产总值、固定资产存量以及第一、第二和第三产业的劳动数据进行了平稳性检验，协整检验发现这五个变量具有长期均衡关系，从而可以说明建立的回归模型更加符合统计学规律。最后，以回归模型为基础，按照文章关于科技进步贡献率测算的方法，测算了河北省1990-2012年间的科技进步贡献率，并针对测算结果进行了深入分析，提出在当前经济形势下河北省经济调控的思路。
경제증장급기질량문제시정부화학자문소관주적열점문제，과기진보공헌솔작위형량경제증장질량적삼고지표유일정적과학성。문장종결구생산함수입수，통과인입세효계수，사득과기진보공헌솔적측산경가과학。문장재구체측산과정중，대하북성국내생산총치、고정자산존량이급제일、제이화제삼산업적노동수거진행료평은성검험，협정검험발현저오개변량구유장기균형관계，종이가이설명건립적회귀모형경가부합통계학규률。최후，이회귀모형위기출，안조문장관우과기진보공헌솔측산적방법，측산료하북성1990-2012년간적과기진보공헌솔，병침대측산결과진행료심입분석，제출재당전경제형세하하북성경제조공적사로。
It is the hot concern for the government and scholars to study the growth and the quality of economy, and the contribution rate of scientific and technological progress, as a measure of the quality of the reference index, has some scientific functions. This paper starts from the structure of the production function by introducing potential efficiency coefficient, making the calculation of the contribution rate more scientific. In this paper, in the process of the specific calculation, Hebei Province's GDP, stock of fixed assets and the first, second and third industries labor data were stationary test, it founds that these are five variables long-run equilibrium relationship which can explain the regression model was more in line with the law. Finally, with the basis of regression model, according to this method on the calculation of the contribution rate of science and technology, we calculate the contribution rate of science and technology of Hebei Province from 1990 to 2012 and estimate the in-depth analysis of economic regulation in Hebei Province presented in the current economic situation.