防灾减灾学报
防災減災學報
방재감재학보
JOURNAL OF DISASTER PREVENTION AND REDUCTION
2014年
3期
53-58
,共6页
地震%熵值分析%预测预报%前兆异常%危险区划定
地震%熵值分析%預測預報%前兆異常%危險區劃定
지진%적치분석%예측예보%전조이상%위험구화정
earthquake%entropy analysis%forecasting%precursory anomalies%danger zone delineation
历次中强地震发生前,孕震区附近的小震活动在时间上和空间上会出现从无序到有序的演化过程,反映了小震活动序列中隐含着许多与未来强震发生有关的重要信息。本文选取了河南及邻区小震活动资料,从系统的观点,利用地震活动信息熵值的变化探讨孕震体前后的某种整体行为。通过资料计算分析,河南及邻区中强地震前信息熵值的变化较为明显,中强地震一般发生在高熵值过后的下降段或恢复段,熵值的时序变化与地震序列具有较好的对应性;不同的地质构造地震活动差异,对熵值曲线的形态细节变化存在着一定影响,但对熵值总体变化趋势影响不大。
歷次中彊地震髮生前,孕震區附近的小震活動在時間上和空間上會齣現從無序到有序的縯化過程,反映瞭小震活動序列中隱含著許多與未來彊震髮生有關的重要信息。本文選取瞭河南及鄰區小震活動資料,從繫統的觀點,利用地震活動信息熵值的變化探討孕震體前後的某種整體行為。通過資料計算分析,河南及鄰區中彊地震前信息熵值的變化較為明顯,中彊地震一般髮生在高熵值過後的下降段或恢複段,熵值的時序變化與地震序列具有較好的對應性;不同的地質構造地震活動差異,對熵值麯線的形態細節變化存在著一定影響,但對熵值總體變化趨勢影響不大。
력차중강지진발생전,잉진구부근적소진활동재시간상화공간상회출현종무서도유서적연화과정,반영료소진활동서렬중은함착허다여미래강진발생유관적중요신식。본문선취료하남급린구소진활동자료,종계통적관점,이용지진활동신식적치적변화탐토잉진체전후적모충정체행위。통과자료계산분석,하남급린구중강지진전신식적치적변화교위명현,중강지진일반발생재고적치과후적하강단혹회복단,적치적시서변화여지진서렬구유교호적대응성;불동적지질구조지진활동차이,대적치곡선적형태세절변화존재착일정영향,단대적치총체변화추세영향불대。
Previous occurrence of strong earthquakes before the seismogenic zone near the small earthquakes in time and space will appear from disorder to order evolution reflects the sequence of small earthquakes and the future implicit in many of the occurrence of earthquakes important information. This paper selected Henan and neighboring small earthquakes data from the system point of view, the use of seismic activity information entropy values vary investigate seismogenic body after a certain overall behavior. Through the calculation and analysis, Henan and neighboring area before the earthquake information entropy values change more obvious, moderately strong earthquakes usually occur in high entropy after the descent stage and recovery section, entropy change and the timing of the earthquake sequence has good correspondence; different tectonic seismic activity differences, entropy curve shape changes in the details there is some influence, but does not affect the overall trend of entropy.