CAJ | 학술논문

针对我国特高压建设与大规模可再生能源的接入带给智能输电系统的风险，文章提出一种在市场环境下输电系统的风险型多准则决策新方法。该方法基于已构建的智能输电系统风险评价指标体系，考虑指标属性与权重信息的不确定、模糊性以及决策者所持风险态度，结合改进的区间灰数与前景理论，构建了基于前景理论的改进灰靶风险决策模型，最后运用到智能输电系统风险决策案例验证了该方法的合理性和有效性。
침대아국특고압건설여대규모가재생능원적접입대급지능수전계통적풍험，문장제출일충재시장배경하수전계통적풍험형다준칙결책신방법。해방법기우이구건적지능수전계통풍험평개지표체계，고필지표속성여권중신식적불학정、모호성이급결책자소지풍험태도，결합개진적구간회수여전경이론，구건료기우전경이론적개진회파풍험결책모형，최후운용도지능수전계통풍험결책안례험증료해방법적합이성화유효성。
The construction of the extra-high voltage and large-scale renewable energy access bring huge potential risk into the smart transmission system .This paper provides a new method for the research of smart transmission system risk decision in the multiple market environment .Based on the risk evaluation index of smart transmission System, considering uncertain and fuzzy of the index attribute、weight information and the attitude of facing the risk,and combining improved interval grey number and prospect theory , we provide improved grey target risk decision model based on prospect theory .Finally, it uses the example of the smart transmission system risk decision to verify the rationality and validity of this method .