科技管理研究
科技管理研究
과기관리연구
SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY MANAGEMENT RESEARCH
2014年
14期
176-178,187
,共4页
多属性%消错决策%前景理论%风险%区间数
多屬性%消錯決策%前景理論%風險%區間數
다속성%소착결책%전경이론%풍험%구간수
multi-attribute%error-eliminating decision-making%prospect theory%risk%interval number
针对属性值为区间数的风险型多属性决策问题，结合前景理论，从减少或规避错误损失的角度提出一种消错决策方法。首先，对错误、错误函数、错误损失值等概念进行界定，并提出研究的假设前提；接着，利用错误函数和错误极限损失值构建错误矩阵和属性错误损失矩阵，并求解综合错误损失向量；然后，通过计算各策略的前景价值进行排序；最后，通过实例论证本研究的有效性和可行性。
針對屬性值為區間數的風險型多屬性決策問題，結閤前景理論，從減少或規避錯誤損失的角度提齣一種消錯決策方法。首先，對錯誤、錯誤函數、錯誤損失值等概唸進行界定，併提齣研究的假設前提；接著，利用錯誤函數和錯誤極限損失值構建錯誤矩陣和屬性錯誤損失矩陣，併求解綜閤錯誤損失嚮量；然後，通過計算各策略的前景價值進行排序；最後，通過實例論證本研究的有效性和可行性。
침대속성치위구간수적풍험형다속성결책문제，결합전경이론，종감소혹규피착오손실적각도제출일충소착결책방법。수선，대착오、착오함수、착오손실치등개념진행계정，병제출연구적가설전제；접착，이용착오함수화착오겁한손실치구건착오구진화속성착오손실구진，병구해종합착오손실향량；연후，통과계산각책략적전경개치진행배서；최후，통과실례론증본연구적유효성화가행성。
For risk multi-attribute decision-making problems with interval number,an error-eliminating decision mak-ing method based on prospect theory is proposed.The concepts of error,error-function and error-loss-value on the ba-sis of error-eliminating theory and the research hypothesis are given at the beginning.Furthermore,error-function and error-loss-value are used to build the error matrix and the attribute-error-loss matrix.The two matrices are used to obtain comprehensive error-loss vector.Finally,all the alternatives are ranked according the prospect values.The effec-tiveness and feasibility of this model has been proved by an illustrated example.
