气象与减灾研究
氣象與減災研究
기상여감재연구
METEOROLOGY AND DISASTER REDUCTION RESEARCH
2014年
2期
55-60
,共6页
郑群峰%徐文文%李磊%王博
鄭群峰%徐文文%李磊%王博
정군봉%서문문%리뢰%왕박
热带气旋%数据库%登陆点%相似路径
熱帶氣鏇%數據庫%登陸點%相似路徑
열대기선%수거고%등륙점%상사로경
tropical cyclone%database%landfall point%similar path
风雨影响评估是热带气旋预报预警服务中的一项重要工作,而热带气旋风雨影响的历史气候数据是支撑这一工作的重要依据。以深圳为例,提出了建立热带气旋数据库系统的技术思路,该系统实现了以下几种功能:1)热带气旋数据的后台自动入库;2)关键区和相似离度相结合的相似台风的自动检索和风雨影响分析;3)直观展示广东沿海各市登陆的热带气旋的风雨影响气候概况;4)热带气旋风雨影响等级的自动提示。通过该系统,预报员可以高效、快速地查询历史相似路径或相同登陆点的热带气旋风雨影响情况,从而为分析当前热带气旋可能造成的风雨影响评估提供参考依据。
風雨影響評估是熱帶氣鏇預報預警服務中的一項重要工作,而熱帶氣鏇風雨影響的歷史氣候數據是支撐這一工作的重要依據。以深圳為例,提齣瞭建立熱帶氣鏇數據庫繫統的技術思路,該繫統實現瞭以下幾種功能:1)熱帶氣鏇數據的後檯自動入庫;2)關鍵區和相似離度相結閤的相似檯風的自動檢索和風雨影響分析;3)直觀展示廣東沿海各市登陸的熱帶氣鏇的風雨影響氣候概況;4)熱帶氣鏇風雨影響等級的自動提示。通過該繫統,預報員可以高效、快速地查詢歷史相似路徑或相同登陸點的熱帶氣鏇風雨影響情況,從而為分析噹前熱帶氣鏇可能造成的風雨影響評估提供參攷依據。
풍우영향평고시열대기선예보예경복무중적일항중요공작,이열대기선풍우영향적역사기후수거시지탱저일공작적중요의거。이심수위례,제출료건립열대기선수거고계통적기술사로,해계통실현료이하궤충공능:1)열대기선수거적후태자동입고;2)관건구화상사리도상결합적상사태풍적자동검색화풍우영향분석;3)직관전시엄동연해각시등륙적열대기선적풍우영향기후개황;4)열대기선풍우영향등급적자동제시。통과해계통,예보원가이고효、쾌속지사순역사상사로경혹상동등륙점적열대기선풍우영향정황,종이위분석당전열대기선가능조성적풍우영향평고제공삼고의거。
Assessment on the wind and rain hazards during the landfall of tropical cyclone (TC) is an essential task in the weather forecasting and warning service, and the climate data collected during the passage of TC are important to support this job. Taking Shenzhen as an example, a TC climate database system and the technical thoughts used to establish the system are introduced. The system has the following functions: 1) Meteorological data on TCs can be automatically collected and stored into the database; 2) The system can help to pick out historically similar TCs based on the key area checking combined with the TC tracks deviation checking, and consequently help to evaluate the wind and rain hazards of TCs on Shenzhen;3) The system can visually illustrate the impacts of different TCs landing at different cities of Guangdong province; 4) The system can automatically prompt forecasters the hazard level of different TC. Through the platform, forecasters can quickly and efficiently obtain the information on the wind and rain hazards of the TCs with similar paths or landfall points, which will help to evaluate the wind and rain hazards possibly induced by current TC.