干旱气象
榦旱氣象
간한기상
GANSU METEOROLOGY
2014年
3期
460-464,474
,共6页
电网事故%气象灾害%风险评价
電網事故%氣象災害%風險評價
전망사고%기상재해%풍험평개
electrified wire netting accidents%meteorological disasters%risk assessment
利用1983~2008年河北省灾情直报数据,对造成河北电网安全事故的气象灾害进行统计。大风、暴雨、雷电是造成河北省电网安全事故的主要气象灾害,占事故总数的98.5%。致电网安全事故的气象灾害主要出现在夏半年5~9月,且年变化显著。应用气象灾害风险指数方法,对与电网事故有关的气象灾害进行风险评价,分为高、中、低3个风险等级。结果表明:致电网事故的气象灾害高风险区集中在燕山南麓的唐山和太行山东麓北段的保定;中度风险区出现在太行山东麓中南段的邢台、邯郸,还有沿海的沧州地区。中高风险区主要集中在受地形影响局地强对流天气较多的区域,还有沿海多大风的地区。
利用1983~2008年河北省災情直報數據,對造成河北電網安全事故的氣象災害進行統計。大風、暴雨、雷電是造成河北省電網安全事故的主要氣象災害,佔事故總數的98.5%。緻電網安全事故的氣象災害主要齣現在夏半年5~9月,且年變化顯著。應用氣象災害風險指數方法,對與電網事故有關的氣象災害進行風險評價,分為高、中、低3箇風險等級。結果錶明:緻電網事故的氣象災害高風險區集中在燕山南麓的唐山和太行山東麓北段的保定;中度風險區齣現在太行山東麓中南段的邢檯、邯鄲,還有沿海的滄州地區。中高風險區主要集中在受地形影響跼地彊對流天氣較多的區域,還有沿海多大風的地區。
이용1983~2008년하북성재정직보수거,대조성하북전망안전사고적기상재해진행통계。대풍、폭우、뇌전시조성하북성전망안전사고적주요기상재해,점사고총수적98.5%。치전망안전사고적기상재해주요출현재하반년5~9월,차년변화현저。응용기상재해풍험지수방법,대여전망사고유관적기상재해진행풍험평개,분위고、중、저3개풍험등급。결과표명:치전망사고적기상재해고풍험구집중재연산남록적당산화태행산동록북단적보정;중도풍험구출현재태행산동록중남단적형태、함단,환유연해적창주지구。중고풍험구주요집중재수지형영향국지강대류천기교다적구역,환유연해다대풍적지구。
By using of the disaster data from 1983 to 2008 in Hebei Province,the electrified wire netting accidents related to meteoro-logical disasters were analyzed.The gale,rainstorm as well as thunder and lightning were the mainly meteorological disasters leading to electrified wire netting accidents in Hebei Province,which accounted for 98.5% of the total accidents.These meteorological disasters mainly occurred from May to September,and the yearly change was remarkable.The risk assessment to these meteorological disasters was done by using the risk index method,and it was divided into high risk,moderate risk and low risk grades.Results show that the high risk of meteorological disasters related to electrified wire netting accidents was concentrated in Tangshan and Baoding area,and moderate risk was concentrated in Xingtai,Handan and Cangzhou area.The moderate-high risk occurred in many regions of strong convective weather and multi-gale area in coastal.