CAJ | 학술논문

中国是世界船舶贸易大国，船舶产品出口在世界市场上占据重要地位，亚欧地区为其两大传统出口目的地。近年来，欧美经济复苏缓慢，人民币升值趋势明显，中国船舶出口面临新的挑战。截取中国和世界27个国家和地区2002-2011年10年间船舶产品贸易出口流量数据，通过构建引力模型，运用面板数据回归对其贸易流量及影响因素进行实证研究显示，经济规模的扩大和FT A的构建可以促进中国船舶出口流量的增加，地理距离对出口流量具有阻碍作用，汇率的波动显著影响船舶出口流量的变动。
중국시세계선박무역대국，선박산품출구재세계시장상점거중요지위，아구지구위기량대전통출구목적지。근년래，구미경제복소완만，인민폐승치추세명현，중국선박출구면림신적도전。절취중국화세계27개국가화지구2002-2011년10년간선박산품무역출구류량수거，통과구건인력모형，운용면판수거회귀대기무역류량급영향인소진행실증연구현시，경제규모적확대화FT A적구건가이촉진중국선박출구류량적증가，지리거리대출구류량구유조애작용，회솔적파동현저영향선박출구류량적변동。
China is one of the world's biggest shipping trade countries ,and its export shipping products take an important place in the world market with Asia and Europe as the two traditional export markets . In recent years ,the slow-recovered Euro-American economy and the evident trend of RMB appreciation have brought new challenges to China's shipping export .Based on gravity model and panel data regression , this paper collects the data of shipping products export trade flow of China and the world's other 27 coun-tries and regions from 2002 to 2011 and analyzes the export trade flow and its influential factors .The re-sults show that enlarged economy scale and construction of FT A can boost China's shipping export trade flow ,geographic distance acts as a negative factor ,and that fluctuation of foreign exchange rate affects the change of shipping export significantly .