CAJ | 학술논문

人口死亡水平的变动与趋势包含了与社会发展互为因果的潜在信息，对其进行挖掘可以为人口数量与素质、城市化与劳动就业、人口分布与资源环境承载力以及人口老龄化等问题的解决提供重要参考。基于“五普”、“六普”的人口普查数据，文章利用模型生命表方法对福建省的人口死亡率进行了校正；宏观角度对比分析了2000年-2010年福建省人口死亡水平与模式变化，微观多角度剖析了设区市之间预期寿命、婴儿死亡的差异及其原因。研究结论为：一是福建省人口死亡率显著降低，人口健康水平大幅提升，婴儿死亡漏报、错报问题明显减少；二是九个设区市之间的死亡模式存在地区差异，城市化水平、生育水平及社会卫生条件是差异产生的显著性影响因素，但经济发展、教育水平和公共医疗卫生的作用不明显。
인구사망수평적변동여추세포함료여사회발전호위인과적잠재신식，대기진행알굴가이위인구수량여소질、성시화여노동취업、인구분포여자원배경승재력이급인구노령화등문제적해결제공중요삼고。기우“오보”、“륙보”적인구보사수거，문장이용모형생명표방법대복건성적인구사망솔진행료교정；굉관각도대비분석료2000년-2010년복건성인구사망수평여모식변화，미관다각도부석료설구시지간예기수명、영인사망적차이급기원인。연구결론위：일시복건성인구사망솔현저강저，인구건강수평대폭제승，영인사망루보、착보문제명현감소；이시구개설구시지간적사망모식존재지구차이，성시화수평、생육수평급사회위생조건시차이산생적현저성영향인소，단경제발전、교육수평화공공의료위생적작용불명현。
Changes and trends of population mortality level contains the potential information reciprocal causation and social development,mining information from the death can provide an important reference for solving the problem of population quantity and quality,city and employment, the distribution of population and resources and environment carrying capacity and the population aging problem. Based on the fifth and sixth general census data , the population mortality in Fujian province were correction model life table;macro comparison and analysis of the 2000-2010 Fujian province population mortality level and changes in the mode of multi angle analysis ,micro between districts and cities expected differences , infant death and life the reason. Research conclusions are as follows:first,Fujian province population mortality decreased significantly ,significantly increase the level of population health, infant death omission, misstatement problems decreased significantly;Secondly, the regional differences exist between the nine districts and cities of death mode , city level,the fertility level and social health condition is the significant influential factors of difference,but the economic development,the influence of education level and public health are not obvious.