CAJ | 학술논문

开发园区用地问题一直是研究重难点，作为开发园区主导用地类型的工业用地，影响并决定着开发园区整体用地规模数量及空间布局。基于ArcGIS的30米×30米网格法及生态位适宜度评价模型，将国家级滁州经济技术开发区作为典型实证对象，遴选高程、坡度、公路辐射度、生态保养度、工业用地、征地拆迁等6项指标，判识工业用地空间开发适宜度，高、较高、一般、较低、低占比分别34.74%、22.18%、25.61%、13.63%、3.84%，较高值及以上接近60%，区域总体适宜工业用地开发；运用SPSS趋势回归分析法，选择对数模型预测未来工业用地需求量，并与开发区工业用地开发适宜度属性挂钩分析，模拟开发区工业用地空间布局演变；归纳外延拓展型、工业主导型、高效协调型等三种用地模式基础上，提出用地布局优化的具体方案措施，促进园区产业优化升级及土地资源合理高效利用。
개발완구용지문제일직시연구중난점，작위개발완구주도용지류형적공업용지，영향병결정착개발완구정체용지규모수량급공간포국。기우ArcGIS적30미×30미망격법급생태위괄의도평개모형，장국가급저주경제기술개발구작위전형실증대상，린선고정、파도、공로복사도、생태보양도、공업용지、정지탁천등6항지표，판식공업용지공간개발괄의도，고、교고、일반、교저、저점비분별34.74%、22.18%、25.61%、13.63%、3.84%，교고치급이상접근60%，구역총체괄의공업용지개발；운용SPSS추세회귀분석법，선택대수모형예측미래공업용지수구량，병여개발구공업용지개발괄의도속성괘구분석，모의개발구공업용지공간포국연변；귀납외연탁전형、공업주도형、고효협조형등삼충용지모식기출상，제출용지포국우화적구체방안조시，촉진완구산업우화승급급토지자원합리고효이용。
The problem of development zone land use has been the research emphasis and difficulty. As the industrial land for leading land types of development zone, influenced the overall scale of land use quantity and space layout. Based on ArcGIS 30 x 30 meters grid method and ecological niche suitability evaluation model, Chuzhou national economic and technical development zone as typical study object, the selection of elevation, slope, road radiance, ecological maintenance, industrial land, land acquisition demolition of 6 indicators, identifies of industrial land space development suitability, highest, higher, in general, low, low respectively accounted for 34.74%, 22.18%, 25.61%, 13.63%, 3.84%, a higher value and more close to 60%, the overall regional suitable for industrial land development. using of SPSS trend regression analysis, selection of logarithmic model to predict the future industrial land demand, and with the development zone industrial land development suitability analysis of attribute hook, simulation industrial land of development zone space layout, induction of extensional expansion, industry oriented, efficient coordination of three kinds of land use patterns, the proposed scheme of specific measures to optimize the layout, to promote development zone of optimization industrial upgrading and rational-efficient land resources use.