电子科技大学学报（社会科学版）
電子科技大學學報（社會科學版）
전자과기대학학보（사회과학판）
JOURNAL OF UNIVERSITY OF ELECTRONIC SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF CHINA(SOCIAL SCIENCES EDITION)
2014年
4期
22-27
,共6页
系统%事故模型%建模方法%社会技术系统
繫統%事故模型%建模方法%社會技術繫統
계통%사고모형%건모방법%사회기술계통
system%accident model%modeling method%social-technical system
基于系统分析视角，介绍三种主要的系统事故建模的新方法，即事故建模的系统性方法、形式化方法和事故分析、社会学和组织分析方法。总结了建模方法的长处及不足，提出了综合视角下的系统事故分析框架，同时指出系统系理论可用于社会技术系统事故建模，以及未来建模的发展趋势。
基于繫統分析視角，介紹三種主要的繫統事故建模的新方法，即事故建模的繫統性方法、形式化方法和事故分析、社會學和組織分析方法。總結瞭建模方法的長處及不足，提齣瞭綜閤視角下的繫統事故分析框架，同時指齣繫統繫理論可用于社會技術繫統事故建模，以及未來建模的髮展趨勢。
기우계통분석시각，개소삼충주요적계통사고건모적신방법，즉사고건모적계통성방법、형식화방법화사고분석、사회학화조직분석방법。총결료건모방법적장처급불족，제출료종합시각하적계통사고분석광가，동시지출계통계이론가용우사회기술계통사고건모，이급미래건모적발전추세。
New technology is making fundamental changes in the cause of accidents and promoting the development of accident models and its modeling methods. The traditional modeling methods are not sufficient to analyze the accident in the socio-technical systems, because the accident is no longer the result of a single component failure or human error in the new environment. Based on the perspective of system analysis, this paper introduces three main new methods for system accident models, that is, the systematic method for accident modeling, the formal method and analysis of accident, and the sociological and organizational analysis method. Finally, this paper discusses and summarizes the strengths and weaknesses of modeling method, not only putting forward the analysis framework of system accident from the comprehensive perspective, but also pointing out that the theory of System of system is the future trend for modeling accident of social-technical system, and proposing the evolution trends of modeling accident.
