CAJ | 학술논문

提前准确识别冷云催化潜力，有助于提升人工影响天气作业的科学水平，是实现气象现代化的重要保障。北京市人工影响天气办公室基于 BJ-RUC 系统，设计研发了北京人影冷云催化潜力识别模式平台（BJ-CCSPR 平台）。该平台通过后台支撑系统和前台分析系统的有机结合，具有自动处理数据监测、模式计算、人影业务产品制作与显示等功能，并能实现人机交互操作。冷云综合催化潜力指标基于 BJ-RUC 系统输出的三维云宏微观物理量条件、热力和动力条件设计研发，可直观地提供人影催化潜力区的空间和地域分布，具有较强的科学性和可信度。业务应用表明：该平台性能稳定，自动化程度较高，易于扩展，实用性强；与 BJ-RUC 系统结合，业务产品基本可以反映未来24 h 内人影相关物理量场的变化情况；地基增雪和飞行增雨典型实例说明冷云综合催化潜力指标可直接服务于人影决策指挥，在实际业务中发挥重要作用。
제전준학식별랭운최화잠력，유조우제승인공영향천기작업적과학수평，시실현기상현대화적중요보장。북경시인공영향천기판공실기우 BJ-RUC 계통，설계연발료북경인영랭운최화잠력식별모식평태（BJ-CCSPR 평태）。해평태통과후태지탱계통화전태분석계통적유궤결합，구유자동처리수거감측、모식계산、인영업무산품제작여현시등공능，병능실현인궤교호조작。랭운종합최화잠력지표기우 BJ-RUC 계통수출적삼유운굉미관물리량조건、열력화동력조건설계연발，가직관지제공인영최화잠력구적공간화지역분포，구유교강적과학성화가신도。업무응용표명：해평태성능은정，자동화정도교고，역우확전，실용성강；여 BJ-RUC 계통결합，업무산품기본가이반영미래24 h 내인영상관물리량장적변화정황；지기증설화비행증우전형실례설명랭운종합최화잠력지표가직접복무우인영결책지휘，재실제업무중발휘중요작용。
Recognizing cold cloud seeding potentials accurately in advance can improve the scientific skill of artificial weather modification and guarantee the realization of meteorological modernization.Based on BJ-RUC system,the cold cloud seeding potentials recognition platform of weather modification in Beijing (BJ-CCSPR platform)was designed by Beijing Weather Modification Office.With the combination of back-ground supporting system and foreground analyzing system,the platform has the functions of data monito-ring,model calculation,generation and display of the operation products and human-computer interactive operations.Based on the 3-dimension macro-and micro-physical quantites,thermodynamic and kinetics factors,the comprehensive indices of cold cloud seeding potentials are designed,having high levels of sci-entificity and creditability and being able to provide the distribution of 3D and 2D seeding potential areas directly.The operational application indicates that:This platform has stable performance and high auto-mation;it’s easy to expand and practical highly;operational products which is combined with BJ-RUC system can primarily forecast the variation of physical quantity associated with weather modification in the next 24 hours;the classic examples of a ground-based flare seeding case and an aircraft seeding case indicate that the comprehensive indices of cold cloud seeding potentials can serve weather modification decision-making and com-mand progress directly and play an important role in practical operation of weather modification.