CAJ | 학술논문

针对目前计算火箭炮毁伤概率只考虑射击精度和目标特性及弹药量等因素，而不考虑目标机动和对抗因素、生存能力的不足，基于射击理论和火力对抗理论，建立了考虑时间约束的火箭炮营毁伤概率模型，对想定中考虑目标机动及生存因素等时间约束的毁伤概率进行了仿真计算，仿真结果表明了模型的有效性以及目标机动火力对抗决定的生存需求使火箭炮毁伤概率具有时间敏感性。
침대목전계산화전포훼상개솔지고필사격정도화목표특성급탄약량등인소，이불고필목표궤동화대항인소、생존능력적불족，기우사격이론화화력대항이론，건립료고필시간약속적화전포영훼상개솔모형，대상정중고필목표궤동급생존인소등시간약속적훼상개솔진행료방진계산，방진결과표명료모형적유효성이급목표궤동화력대항결정적생존수구사화전포훼상개솔구유시간민감성。
Aiming at the shortcomings of the present damage probability model of multiple launch rocket system (MLRS)that ignores factors such as targets movement and viability while considers only factors like shooting accuracy,target characteristics,and amount of ammunition,a time-constraint damage probability model of MLRS is presented based on artillery firepower theory and firepower counterwork theory. The damage probability of MLRS in scenarios that containing time-constraint factors is computed based on the new model. Simulation results show the effectiveness of the model,and demonstrate that factors like targets maneuver and survival demand play an important role in damage probability of MLRS battalion and make the damage probability time sensitive.