CAJ | 학술논문

为揭示国家能源化工基地榆林市石油资源开发与经济增长的数量关系和运行状况，以1993-2012年榆林市石油产量和国内生产总值数据为样本，应用协整分析、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果关系检验方法进行实证研究。结果显示：榆林市石油资源开发与经济增长之间存在长期稳定的协整关系，长期来看，石油资源开发对经济增长贡献显著，但短期内，影响并不明显；石油资源开发与经济增长之间存在由前者到后者的单向格兰杰因果关系。实现资源新城榆林市石油资源开发与经济增长的良性互动势在必行。
위게시국가능원화공기지유림시석유자원개발여경제증장적수량관계화운행상황，이1993-2012년유림시석유산량화국내생산총치수거위양본，응용협정분석、오차수정모형화격란걸인과관계검험방법진행실증연구。결과현시：유림시석유자원개발여경제증장지간존재장기은정적협정관계，장기래간，석유자원개발대경제증장공헌현저，단단기내，영향병불명현；석유자원개발여경제증장지간존재유전자도후자적단향격란걸인과관계。실현자원신성유림시석유자원개발여경제증장적량성호동세재필행。
With the data of oil production and GDP from 1993 to 2012 in Yulin as samples ,using the co-integration theory ,error correction model and granger causality analysis ,an empirical study was made to reveal the numerical relationship between the petroleum resources exploitation and economic growth in Yulin city ,the national base of energy and chemical industry .The findings reveal that there exists a long-run equilibrium and co-integration relationship between the petroleum resources exploitation and economic growth ,and there is a one-way causal relationship from petroleum resources exploitation to economic grow th . In the long run , petroleum resources exploitation has a great effect on economic growth ,whereas ,in the short-term ,the effect is not obvious .It is necessary to realize the positive interaction between the petroleum resources exploitation and economic grow th in Yulin city .