CAJ | 학술논문

碳排放绩效是当前国内外低碳经济研究的热点问题，已有研究主要针对经济发展的碳排放绩效测度展开，关注经济产出的碳排放绩效。基于人类福祉是研究碳排放绩效的新视角。首次提出碳排放绩效的概念框架及图解，据此构建了人类福祉的碳排放绩效评估模型，应用LMDI分解法建立了碳排放绩效的效应分解模型，对中部地区人类福祉的碳排放绩效及其效应进行研究发现：(1)1990年～2008年中部六省经济发展的碳排放绩效整体上先增后降；人类福祉的经济绩效与碳排放绩效整体上均呈递减趋同态势。中部地区人类福祉碳排放绩效的省际差距整体上趋向缩小；(2)1990年～2008年中部六省经济发展的碳排放绩效的总效应波动较大，驱动效应和抑制效应交替出现。经济福祉绩效效应整体递增，由抑制效应向驱动效应演进，呈现趋同趋势；(3)中部六省人类福祉的碳排放绩效主要由经济发展的碳排放绩效决定，经济发展的碳排放绩效效应是碳排放绩效总效应的决定性因素，人类福祉的碳排放绩效效应是经济发展的碳排放绩效效应和人类福祉的经济绩效效应两种效应的叠合。
탄배방적효시당전국내외저탄경제연구적열점문제，이유연구주요침대경제발전적탄배방적효측도전개，관주경제산출적탄배방적효。기우인류복지시연구탄배방적효적신시각。수차제출탄배방적효적개념광가급도해，거차구건료인류복지적탄배방적효평고모형，응용LMDI분해법건립료탄배방적효적효응분해모형，대중부지구인류복지적탄배방적효급기효응진행연구발현：(1)1990년～2008년중부륙성경제발전적탄배방적효정체상선증후강；인류복지적경제적효여탄배방적효정체상균정체감추동태세。중부지구인류복지탄배방적효적성제차거정체상추향축소；(2)1990년～2008년중부륙성경제발전적탄배방적효적총효응파동교대，구동효응화억제효응교체출현。경제복지적효효응정체체증，유억제효응향구동효응연진，정현추동추세；(3)중부륙성인류복지적탄배방적효주요유경제발전적탄배방적효결정，경제발전적탄배방적효효응시탄배방적효총효응적결정성인소，인류복지적탄배방적효효응시경제발전적탄배방적효효응화인류복지적경제적효효응량충효응적첩합。
Since the problem of climate change has become increasingly severe, the question about balance between economic development, human development and carbon emissions from perspective of human well-being has drawn a large atten-tion of the academics. Carbon emission performance was a hot issue of low-car-bon development research. It has been the main focus to measure carbon produc-tivity, attached importance to the carbon emission performance for economic development, but ignored the carbon emission performance for human develop-ment, especially economic performance for human development. According to the idea about carbon emission performance, we built evaluation model for carbon emission performance; with applying of LMDI decomposition method, analyzed the effects of carbon emission performance in the Central China. Some conclusions can been drawn as follows: first, from 1990 to 2008,carbon productivity of the Central China tended to increase at first and then decreased, economic perfor-mance for human well-being as a whole showed a decreasing trend of conver-gence, carbon emission performance for human well-being as a whole showed a decreasing trend, and the gap of carbon emission performance for human well-being about six provinces in Central China was narrowing. Second, econom-ic performance for human well-being showed an increasing trend of convergence and its evolution from the inhibitory effect to the driven effect from 1990 to 2008. Third, carbon emission performance was the synthesis of carbon produc-tivity effect and economic performance effect of human development, and carbon productivity effect was a decisive factor in the total effect of carbon emis-sion performance from 1990 to 2008.