CAJ | 학술논문

微博的快速发展使得人们进入自媒体时代，也为信息的快速传播创造了有利条件。提出一种考虑到直接免疫的改进SIR模型，利用该模型研究微博信息的传播规律并对微博信息进行预测。实验结果表明，与微博标准SIR传播模型相比，提出的改进SIR模型能更有效地反映微博信息传播规律，并且能更准确地对微博信息传播进行预测。
미박적쾌속발전사득인문진입자매체시대，야위신식적쾌속전파창조료유리조건。제출일충고필도직접면역적개진SIR모형，이용해모형연구미박신식적전파규률병대미박신식진행예측。실험결과표명，여미박표준SIR전파모형상비，제출적개진SIR모형능경유효지반영미박신식전파규률，병차능경준학지대미박신식전파진행예측。
The rapid development of microblogging not only has led people into the We-Media era ,but also creates favorable conditions for the rapid dissemination of information .Taking direct immunization into consideration ,an improved SIR model was presented which uses differential equations to study the rules of information dissemination and to predict information on microblogs .The experiment result shows that the improved SIR model can effectively reflect the rules of information dissemination , and can predict microblog information dissemination more precisely than the microblog standard SIR model .