CAJ | 학술논문

在科学推理中，一直存在着主观概率与客观概率的争议。频率主义者坚持概率的频率解释，认为概率只能是客观的。但是随机抽样悖论表明，经典统计推理不可能避免随机样本的主观性。贝叶斯主义者根据概率的主观解释，用赌商的方式量化先验知识，协调了主客观之间的矛盾。概率的应用性表明，概率解释的选择是多元的，主体交互概率解释为主观解释提供了一条融合客观因素的新进路。
재과학추리중，일직존재착주관개솔여객관개솔적쟁의。빈솔주의자견지개솔적빈솔해석，인위개솔지능시객관적。단시수궤추양패론표명，경전통계추리불가능피면수궤양본적주관성。패협사주의자근거개솔적주관해석，용도상적방식양화선험지식，협조료주객관지간적모순。개솔적응용성표명，개솔해석적선택시다원적，주체교호개솔해석위주관해석제공료일조융합객관인소적신진로。
In scientific reasoning,there is a source of debate between subjective probability and ob-jective probability.Frequentists insist on the frequency interpretation of probability;they take proba-bilities as objective.However,the paradox of random sampling shows that the subjectivity of random sampling cannot be avoided in statistical reasoning.According to the subjective interpretation of prob-ability,and the quantification of prior knowledge,the contradiction between the subjective and objec-tive is reconciled by Bayesians.The applicability of probability shows that the selection of probability interpretation is multiple,that is,there are various viable interpretations of probability.To introduce objective factors,this is a new approach to subjective probability in accordance with the inter-subjec-tive probability.