CAJ | 학술논문

近年来，自然灾害风险评估研究学科发展迅速，学术界对其理论中的一些问题存在着不同的看法。本文对自然灾害风险的定义、自然灾害系统、灾害风险的形成机理、危险性、脆弱性认识等方面内容进行归纳、阐述；通过列举分析自然灾害风险评估领域常用的一些数学方法，指出自然灾害评估定量化的趋势已经愈加明显；多灾种综合风险评估由于其更贴近现实的特点，决定了它风险评估学科未来发展的趋势。
근년래，자연재해풍험평고연구학과발전신속，학술계대기이론중적일사문제존재착불동적간법。본문대자연재해풍험적정의、자연재해계통、재해풍험적형성궤리、위험성、취약성인식등방면내용진행귀납、천술；통과열거분석자연재해풍험평고영역상용적일사수학방법，지출자연재해평고정양화적추세이경유가명현；다재충종합풍험평고유우기경첩근현실적특점，결정료타풍험평고학과미래발전적추세。
In recent years, the natural disaster risk assessment research subject develops rapidly, and there are different views on some issues in the academia. This paper summarizes and describes the definition, the system, the formation mechanism, the danger and the vulnerability of the natural disaster risk, and by listing some common mathematic methods of analyzing natural disaster risk assessment, this paper points out that there is a obvious quantitative trend of natural disasters assessment; The multi disaster comprehensive risk assessment is decided to be the future development trend of the disaster risk assessment with the feature of closing to the reality.