CAJ | 학술논문

清洁发展机制（CDM）是我国实现低碳经济发展的需要。文章考察了我国2007-2012年31个省、市、自治区的CDM项目数量，借鉴离散型非线性模型--负二项式模型，运用面板数据对CDM在中国区域分布结构进行回归分析。结果表明，地区人均GDP、电力消费、第三产业发展水平以及外商投资对CDM项目分布结构存在影响：地区人均GDP和第三产业发展水平对CDM项目分布存在负向影响；电力消费对CDM项目分布存在正向影响；外商投资与CDM项目则存在非线性U型关系。最后，从我国碳减排、碳交易市场建立方面给出政策启示。
청길발전궤제（CDM）시아국실현저탄경제발전적수요。문장고찰료아국2007-2012년31개성、시、자치구적CDM항목수량，차감리산형비선성모형--부이항식모형，운용면판수거대CDM재중국구역분포결구진행회귀분석。결과표명，지구인균GDP、전력소비、제삼산업발전수평이급외상투자대CDM항목분포결구존재영향：지구인균GDP화제삼산업발전수평대CDM항목분포존재부향영향；전력소비대CDM항목분포존재정향영향；외상투자여CDM항목칙존재비선성U형관계。최후，종아국탄감배、탄교역시장건립방면급출정책계시。
The clean development mechanism (CDM) is the need for China to achieve low-carbon economic development. Ac-cording to the analyses on the number of CDM projects in 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities of China during the year of 2007 to 2012, drawing discrete nonlinear model-negative binomial model and applying panel data to make a re-gression analysis on the regional distribution structure of CDM in China,the study shows that per capita GDP,electricity con-sumption, development level of the tertiary industry and foreign investment have an impact on the distribution structure of CDM projects. Among them,the per capita GDP and the development level of the tertiary industry have a negative effect on the distribution structure of CDM projects, while the electricity consumption plays a positive role in the distribution structure of CDM projects. Meanwhile, the relationship between the foreign investment and the CDM projects presents the nonlinear U shape. Finally, the paper proposes policy suggestions from reduction of carbon emission and establishment of carbon trading market in China.