CAJ | 학술논문

为提高水资源配置效率，本文从社会、经济、人口及生态环境的可持续发展角度来构建水资源可持续利用指标体系，运用均方差决策法对2007—2012年天津市水资源可持续利用进行评价，并预测了天津市2013—2015年水资源可持续利用状况。结果表明：2007—2015年天津市水资源可持续利用状况有了显著的改善，从较弱—中等—较强—很强状态，但尚未达到完全可持续利用；同时分析并识别出影响水资源可持续利用的主要因素，为水资源与社会经济、人口、生态环境健康协调发展制定科学策略。
위제고수자원배치효솔，본문종사회、경제、인구급생태배경적가지속발전각도래구건수자원가지속이용지표체계，운용균방차결책법대2007—2012년천진시수자원가지속이용진행평개，병예측료천진시2013—2015년수자원가지속이용상황。결과표명：2007—2015년천진시수자원가지속이용상황유료현저적개선，종교약—중등—교강—흔강상태，단상미체도완전가지속이용；동시분석병식별출영향수자원가지속이용적주요인소，위수자원여사회경제、인구、생태배경건강협조발전제정과학책략。
In order to improve the efficiency of water allocation, the evaluation index system for water resources sustainable utilization is established from Perspective of sustainable development of the social, economic, population and ecological in this article. Based on MSE decision method , water resources sustainable utilization in Tianjin from 2007-2012 is evaluated and predicted from 2013-2015. It proves that:the situation of sustainable use of water resources of Tianjin from 2007-2015 has improved significantly, from weak -medium-strong – very strong state, but has not yet reached full sustainable utilization. Meanwhile the main factors affecting the sustainable use of water resources are analyzed and identified so as to develop scientific strategies for the coordinated development of water resources, socio-economic, demographic, ecological.