农林经济管理学报
農林經濟管理學報
농림경제관이학보
Journal of Jiangxi Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition)
2014年
5期
537-543
,共7页
农民工%回流%走廊效应%Mlogit回归
農民工%迴流%走廊效應%Mlogit迴歸
농민공%회류%주랑효응%Mlogit회귀
migrant workers%backflow%corridor effects%Mlogit Regression
基于辽宁省回流农民工的微观调查数据,构建其就业选择的计量模型,以验证回流农民工就业是否存在“走廊效应”。研究发现:回流农民工就业存在一定程度的走廊效应,回流前从事高技能工作者(包含销售和办事人员),回流后从事低技能工作的概率降低24.2%,而从事技能型工作的可能性增加26.1%。在城市务工中从事小摊贩或有固定店铺小业主职业者,回流后成为自雇者的概率增加34.3%;家中土地数、培训状况和回流地点对农民工体力劳动类就业影响显著,受教育程度、家中土地数、培训状况、回流地点和居住偏好对其技能型职业选择影响显著,居住偏好、培训状况、家中土地数和回流地点则对自雇职业选择具有重要的解释作用。
基于遼寧省迴流農民工的微觀調查數據,構建其就業選擇的計量模型,以驗證迴流農民工就業是否存在“走廊效應”。研究髮現:迴流農民工就業存在一定程度的走廊效應,迴流前從事高技能工作者(包含銷售和辦事人員),迴流後從事低技能工作的概率降低24.2%,而從事技能型工作的可能性增加26.1%。在城市務工中從事小攤販或有固定店鋪小業主職業者,迴流後成為自僱者的概率增加34.3%;傢中土地數、培訓狀況和迴流地點對農民工體力勞動類就業影響顯著,受教育程度、傢中土地數、培訓狀況、迴流地點和居住偏好對其技能型職業選擇影響顯著,居住偏好、培訓狀況、傢中土地數和迴流地點則對自僱職業選擇具有重要的解釋作用。
기우요녕성회류농민공적미관조사수거,구건기취업선택적계량모형,이험증회류농민공취업시부존재“주랑효응”。연구발현:회류농민공취업존재일정정도적주랑효응,회류전종사고기능공작자(포함소수화판사인원),회류후종사저기능공작적개솔강저24.2%,이종사기능형공작적가능성증가26.1%。재성시무공중종사소탄판혹유고정점포소업주직업자,회류후성위자고자적개솔증가34.3%;가중토지수、배훈상황화회류지점대농민공체력노동류취업영향현저,수교육정도、가중토지수、배훈상황、회류지점화거주편호대기기능형직업선택영향현저,거주편호、배훈상황、가중토지수화회류지점칙대자고직업선택구유중요적해석작용。
Based on the micro data collected from returned migrant workers in Liaoning Province,this pa-per builds an econometric model for their occupational selection and empirically analyzes if there exist corridor effects in their employment.Research shows that:there do exist corridor effects in their employment:the rate of taking low-skilled jobs is 24.2% lower after their backflow for the ones who have high-skilled jobs ( including salesman and office clerks) before their backflow,while the rate increases 26.1% for those who worked on skill-oriented jobs.The rate of being self-employed increases 34.3% after their backflow for those who were street vendors or shop owners in cities.The amount of land,training conditions and backflow places significantly affect their occupational selection of physical labor. Education, the amount of land, training conditions, backflow places and living preferences have remarkable effect on the skill-oriented occupational selection.Living prefer-ences,training conditions,the amount of land and backflow places play an important explaining role on self-em-ployment occupational selection.