CAJ | 학술논문

以山东省为例，研究城市间“双向竞争”地价策略对人口城镇化进程的影响。在理论分析的基础上，建立计量模型，引入人口城镇化的其他主要影响因素作为控制变量，将地价政策的人口城镇化效应单独剥离显示，利用2006-2010年山东省17个设区市的面板数据，实证分析了“双向竞争”地价策略的人口城镇化效应。研究结果显示现阶段山东省城市间无论是向下竞工业地价还是向上竞商住地价，均对人口城镇化和户籍人口城镇化进程产生了正向作用。
이산동성위례，연구성시간“쌍향경쟁”지개책략대인구성진화진정적영향。재이론분석적기출상，건립계량모형，인입인구성진화적기타주요영향인소작위공제변량，장지개정책적인구성진화효응단독박리현시，이용2006-2010년산동성17개설구시적면판수거，실증분석료“쌍향경쟁”지개책략적인구성진화효응。연구결과현시현계단산동성성시간무론시향하경공업지개환시향상경상주지개，균대인구성진화화호적인구성진화진정산생료정향작용。
Taking Shandong province as an example, we studied the effect of intercity “two orientation competition” land price policy on demographic urbanization. Based on the theoretical analysis, we designed an econometric model that introduces the chief influential factor of urbanization as a control variable which independently exhibits the effect. With the designed model this paper systematically analyzed this effect through the analysis of the relevant data of 17 cities in Shandong province from 2006 to 2010. The results showed that industrial land price race-to-bottom currently accelerates the process of demographic urbanization. Contrary to expectation, commercial and residential land price race-to-ceiling also have a positive effect on urbanization.