CAJ | 학술논문

目前我国正处于人口城市化快速发展时期，城市扩张用地和耕地资源数量之间关系日渐复杂。本文以宁夏沿黄城市带为例，在分析人口城市化发展进程与耕地数量动态变化的基础上，从城市化发展与耕地资源两系统之间的相互关系入手，运用协调度模型评价分析了自1990~2011年城市化进程与耕地资源数量动态变化的协调性，并对未来协调关系进行预测。结果表明：1990~2011年间二者关系在较协调、基本协调、调和和不协调状态之间波动，未来研究区要保持城市化水平与耕地数量的协调发展，耕地资源保护形势严峻。
목전아국정처우인구성시화쾌속발전시기，성시확장용지화경지자원수량지간관계일점복잡。본문이저하연황성시대위례，재분석인구성시화발전진정여경지수량동태변화적기출상，종성시화발전여경지자원량계통지간적상호관계입수，운용협조도모형평개분석료자1990~2011년성시화진정여경지자원수량동태변화적협조성，병대미래협조관계진행예측。결과표명：1990~2011년간이자관계재교협조、기본협조、조화화불협조상태지간파동，미래연구구요보지성시화수평여경지수량적협조발전，경지자원보호형세엄준。
At present, China is in a period of rapid development of demographic urbanization, the relationship between urban sprawl and quantity of cultivated land resources increasingly complex. In this paper, urban belt along theYellow River in Ningxia, for example, on the basis of analysis of demographic urbanization process and the dynamic changes of the amount of cultivated land, from the relationship between urbanization and cultivated land resources of the two systems start using coordina-tion degree model of self-evaluation and analysis 1990~2011 years urbanization and cultivated land resources dynamically changing coordination, and coordination between predict the fu-ture. The results show: 1990~2011 relations between the two over the coordination, basic coordination, harmonization and fluctuate between uncoordinated state, the future of the study area to main-tain the level of urbanization and the number of coordinated development of arable land, arable land resources protection grim.