运筹与管理
運籌與管理
운주여관리
OPERATIONS RESEARCH AND MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
2014年
4期
175-183
,共9页
城乡收入差距%经济增长%STR模型%城市化%金融发展
城鄉收入差距%經濟增長%STR模型%城市化%金融髮展
성향수입차거%경제증장%STR모형%성시화%금융발전
urban-rural income gap%economic growth%STR model%urbanization%financial development
本文基于平滑转换回归( STR)模型,将城市化与金融发展考虑在内,构建了一个我国1978~2011年关联城乡收入差距与经济增长的非线性模型。研究结果表明我国城乡收入差距与经济增长之间呈现出明显的非线性特征,尤其是在考虑城市化与金融发展的影响下,非线性特征更加显著。同时在非线性条件下,城乡收入差距有利于经济增长。因此,对于追求经济更快增长的政府而言,城乡居民收入差距并非越小越好,即缩小城乡居民收入差距并不一定实现经济更快增长的目标。
本文基于平滑轉換迴歸( STR)模型,將城市化與金融髮展攷慮在內,構建瞭一箇我國1978~2011年關聯城鄉收入差距與經濟增長的非線性模型。研究結果錶明我國城鄉收入差距與經濟增長之間呈現齣明顯的非線性特徵,尤其是在攷慮城市化與金融髮展的影響下,非線性特徵更加顯著。同時在非線性條件下,城鄉收入差距有利于經濟增長。因此,對于追求經濟更快增長的政府而言,城鄉居民收入差距併非越小越好,即縮小城鄉居民收入差距併不一定實現經濟更快增長的目標。
본문기우평활전환회귀( STR)모형,장성시화여금융발전고필재내,구건료일개아국1978~2011년관련성향수입차거여경제증장적비선성모형。연구결과표명아국성향수입차거여경제증장지간정현출명현적비선성특정,우기시재고필성시화여금융발전적영향하,비선성특정경가현저。동시재비선성조건하,성향수입차거유리우경제증장。인차,대우추구경제경쾌증장적정부이언,성향거민수입차거병비월소월호,즉축소성향거민수입차거병불일정실현경제경쾌증장적목표。
Based on the smooth transition regression ( STR) model, the paper takes urbanization and financial developments into account , and establishes a non-parameter STR model to analyze the relationship of urban-rural income gap and economic growth in the period of 1978-2011.The results show more significant nonlinear charac-teristic between urban-rural income gap and economic growth , especially when the paper considers the offect of urbanization and finance development .Meanwhile in the nonlinear conditions , urban-rural income gap benefits economic growth.This means, for the government, which pursues faster economic growth , urban-rural income gap is not that the smaller the better , and narrowing the income gap between urban and rural residents do not necessarily achieve faster economic growth .