广义虚拟经济研究
廣義虛擬經濟研究
엄의허의경제연구
RESEARCH ON THE GENERLIZED FICTITIOUS ECONOMY
2014年
3期
13-20
,共8页
靳涛%黄信灶%李帅%梅伶俐
靳濤%黃信竈%李帥%梅伶俐
근도%황신조%리수%매령리
行为%制度%经济研究%程序化决策%非程序化决策
行為%製度%經濟研究%程序化決策%非程序化決策
행위%제도%경제연구%정서화결책%비정서화결책
behavior%system%economic research%programmed decision%im-programmed decision
人类的决策行为具多面性,基于理性选择的程序化决策没有错,而基于非程序化决策的选择也没有错,它们只是可能适合于不同场合的决策罢了。程序式决策主要靠逻辑、运筹、数学和工程等具体分析方法,定量描述经济活动中资源配置效果。而非程序化决策可能更多靠经验-判断-满意原则来应对经济现象和过程。实际上两者并不是绝对对立的,可以认为,程序化决策分析方法更适合分析可以简单归纳和模拟的最优化问题,而非程序化方法更适合分析特殊背景的瞬间决策问题和复杂的变化中问题。当然,程序化决策是对现实的简化和抽象,只是这种简化并不是在任何情况下都是有效的,它在某些时候也需要有另一种分析范式来适时地补充。
人類的決策行為具多麵性,基于理性選擇的程序化決策沒有錯,而基于非程序化決策的選擇也沒有錯,它們隻是可能適閤于不同場閤的決策罷瞭。程序式決策主要靠邏輯、運籌、數學和工程等具體分析方法,定量描述經濟活動中資源配置效果。而非程序化決策可能更多靠經驗-判斷-滿意原則來應對經濟現象和過程。實際上兩者併不是絕對對立的,可以認為,程序化決策分析方法更適閤分析可以簡單歸納和模擬的最優化問題,而非程序化方法更適閤分析特殊揹景的瞬間決策問題和複雜的變化中問題。噹然,程序化決策是對現實的簡化和抽象,隻是這種簡化併不是在任何情況下都是有效的,它在某些時候也需要有另一種分析範式來適時地補充。
인류적결책행위구다면성,기우이성선택적정서화결책몰유착,이기우비정서화결책적선택야몰유착,타문지시가능괄합우불동장합적결책파료。정서식결책주요고라집、운주、수학화공정등구체분석방법,정량묘술경제활동중자원배치효과。이비정서화결책가능경다고경험-판단-만의원칙래응대경제현상화과정。실제상량자병불시절대대립적,가이인위,정서화결책분석방법경괄합분석가이간단귀납화모의적최우화문제,이비정서화방법경괄합분석특수배경적순간결책문제화복잡적변화중문제。당연,정서화결책시대현실적간화화추상,지시저충간화병불시재임하정황하도시유효적,타재모사시후야수요유령일충분석범식래괄시지보충。
Human decision-making behavior with versatility, decision based on the rational choice of the programmed decision is not wrong, neither the limited rational choice. They just may be suitable for differ-ent situations that decision. Program type decision depend mainly on logic, math and engineering concrete analysis method, is to local or short-term economic activity analysis method, this method can be used to accu-rately mathematical formula, a quantitative description of economic activities in the allocation of resources effect. The im-programmed decision may be more depend on experience judge-satisfaction to deal with eco-nomic phenomenon and process. In fact the two are not absolute opposition, general speaking, programmed decision analysis method is more suitable for analysis simple induction and simulation optimization prob-lem, im-programming method more suitable for analysis of the special background of the decision problem and complex change. Of course, programmed decision is simpliifed to reality and abstract, just this simpliifed and not in any case is effective, it also need and another analysis supplement.